Verona vs. Lecce Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 11 May 2025

Verona will host Lecce at the Stadio M. A. Bentegodi on 11 May 2025 at 14:00 for an important Serie A clash. With just three rounds remaining in the season, both teams are desperately looking to secure crucial points to avoid relegation. Verona, sitting 15th with 32 points, slightly edges Lecce, who are 17th with 27 points.

This match features a battle of struggling sides. Recent form isn’t impressive; Verona has two draws and three losses in their last five matches, while Lecce also managed two draws against three losses. With both teams struggling to find the back of the net—Verona averaging 0.20 goals per game and Lecce 0.60—a tight contest is expected.

Key players like Verona’s Casper Tengstedt and Lecce’s Nikola Krstovic will be vital, although Krstovic’s availability remains doubtful due to a groin injury. The match referee Fabio Maresca is known for his strict officiating, averaging 4.7 yellow cards per game.

Given these factors, our match prediction leans towards a draw. This outcome aligns with the limited scoring and tightly contested affairs typical when these teams meet. Expect a cautious game with both sides potentially content with sharing the spoils.

Verona vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tip

• Both teams have drawn two of their last five games, highlighting their struggles to secure wins.
• Verona and Lecce have low scoring records in recent matches, averaging 0.20 and 0.60 goals per game, respectively.
• Historical match data between these teams indicates that less than 2.5 goals have been scored in 80% of their last meetings, suggesting another low-scoring draw.

Verona vs Lecce Odds

The bookmakers favor Verona with a home win given their position, and the odds indicate a relatively tight contest. Meanwhile, a draw or an away win for Lecce appears less likely but presents more lucrative opportunities for bettors.

Verona is seen as the stronger side despite their inconsistent form, as indicated by their odds of 2.19 for a win. A draw at 3.00 reflects the challenging nature of breaking the deadlock in what is expected to be a tightly contested match. Lecce’s odds of 3.71 suggest a tougher path to victory, mainly due to their away disadvantage and ongoing relegation battle.

Verona Team Analysis

Verona Recent Performance

Verona, currently 15th in Serie A, has struggled for form in recent weeks with three losses and two draws in their last five matches. Their recent form is represented as LLLDD. They’ve managed only 1 clean sheet in their last five games and have an average of 0.20 goals scored per match during this period.
Verona needs to step up offensively if they hope to distance themselves further from the relegation zone. Here’s a look at their recent results:

Their lack of goals is a significant concern, and coach Paolo Zanetti will need to find a way to unlock his team’s attacking potential to pick up crucial points in the final rounds of the season.

Verona Key Players

Verona’s campaign to stave off relegation hinges on the performances of their key players, with top scorer Casper Tengstedt leading the charge. Tengstedt has netted six times this season and will need to be at his clinical best against Lecce.
Another crucial player is Ondrej Duda, expected to pull the strings in midfield. Defensive solidity will rely on the trio of Daniele Ghilardi, Diego Coppola, and Nicolas Valentini. Key individual battles to watch include Tengstedt against Lecce’s central defenders and Duda’s midfield duel with Mohamed Kaba.

Expected lineup for Verona:

• Goalkeeper: Lorenzo Montipò
• Right center back: Daniele Ghilardi
• Central back: Diego Coppola
• Left center back: Nicolas Valentini
• Right midfielder: Jackson Tchatchoua
• Right central midfielder: Pawel Dawidowicz
• Left central midfielder: Ondrej Duda
• Left midfielder: Domagoj Bradarić
• Attacking midfielder: Tomáš Suslov
• Right forward: Casper Tengstedt
• Left forward: Amin Sarr

Verona Suspensions & Injuries

Verona’s quest to secure safety in Serie A faces challenges due to key injuries. Here are the current injury concerns:

The absence of Abdou Harroui will be felt deeply in midfield, robbing Verona of his defensive capabilities and dynamism. Additionally, Marco Davide Faraoni’s potential return later in the month from a muscle injury will leave a gap on the right side of defense.

These injuries mean that coach Paolo Zanetti will have to rely on his squad depth and possibly tweak his tactical approach to cover these critical absences.

Verona Tactics and Formation

Verona Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-5-2
• Key Forward: Casper Tengstedt
• Midfield Components: Jackson Tchatchoua, Pawel Dawidowicz, Ondrej Duda, Domagoj Bradaric, Tomas Suslov
• Defensive Trio: Daniele Ghilardi, Diego Coppola, Nicolas Valentini
• Goalkeeper: Lorenzo Montipo

Coach Paolo Zanetti has consistently employed a 3-5-2 formation, focusing on a defensive block that transitions into quick counter-attacks. With 5 midfielders, Verona looks to dominate the center of the park and create numerical superiority.

Casper Tengstedt, their top scorer, will be crucial in converting chances while the wing-backs, Tchatchoua and Bradaric, provide width and support in both attack and defense.

Despite injuries to key players like Abdou Harroui and Marco Davide Faraoni, Verona’s structured approach seeks to capitalize on set-pieces and counter-pressing to secure vital points.

Lecce Team Analysis

Lecce Recent Performance

Lecce’s recent form has been a mixture of draws and losses, with their last five matches summarizing their struggles:

Recent Form: LDLLD

Lecce has struggled to find the back of the net, averaging just 0.60 goals per game in their last five fixtures, and has failed to keep a clean sheet in those matches. Their defense will have to step up, especially as they average 1.5 goals conceded per match over the season.

The challenge will be even greater with top scorer Nikola Krstovic potentially missing out due to a groin injury. This highlights their difficulties in both scoring and defending, making it crucial for their midfield and secondary scorers to deliver.

Lecce Key Players

Lecce’s hopes will heavily rely on their top scorer, Nikola Krstovic, who has netted 10 goals this season. However, Krstovic is a doubt due to a groin injury, and his potential absence could dampen their attacking threat. Midfielders like Lassana Coulibaly and Balthazar Pierret will need to step up, both in creating chances and shielding the backline. Additionally, Santiago Pierotti, featuring as the right forward, could prove pivotal in exploiting any defensive lapses by Verona.

Expected lineup for Lecce:

• Goalkeeper: Wladimiro Falcone
• Defenders: Frederic Guilbert, Federico Baschirotto, Kialonda Gaspar, Antonino Gallo
• Midfielders: Lassana Coulibaly, Balthazar Pierret, Mohamed Kaba
• Attackers: Santiago Pierotti, Nikola Krstovic, Tete Morente

The midfield battle, notably between Coulibaly and Verona’s Ondrej Duda, could be a critical factor in determining the match outcome.

Lecce Suspensions & Injuries

Lecce will be missing a few key players due to injuries, which could significantly impact their match against Verona. The absence of their top scorer, Nikola Krstovic, due to a groin injury, is particularly concerning as he has been vital in leading their attack.

These injuries leave Lecce with limited options, especially up front. Krstovic’s potential absence means the other attackers need to step up, and Lecce’s midfield may need to exert more control to avoid conceding goals. This could force a tactical shift from coach Marco Giampaolo.

Lecce Tactics and Formation

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Nikola Krstović (Doubtful due to injury)
• Midfield Trio: Lassana Coulibaly, Balthazar Pierret, Mohamed Kaba
• Defensive Line: Frederic Guilbert, Federico Baschirotto, Kialonda Gaspar, Antonino Gallo
• Goalkeeper: Wladimiro Falcone

Lecce deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation with a focus on compact defending and quick transitions.

• Defensive Strategy: Lecce’s back four need to be disciplined, especially considering they have not kept a clean sheet in their last five games.
• Midfield Dynamics: The midfield trio play a crucial role in disrupting Verona’s play, with Lassana Coulibaly providing defensive cover while Balthazar Pierret and Mohamed Kaba look to link up with the attack.
• Attacking Threat: The potential absence of Krstović could force coach Marco Giampaolo to rely more on Santiago Pierotti and Tete Morente to break down Verona’s defence.
• Key Statistics: Lecce have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game this season and have a history of scoring most of their goals in the 31-45 minute interval.

Verona vs Lecce Head-to-Head Statistics

In their last five meetings, Verona has had the upper hand, winning three, losing one, and drawing once. This hints at Verona’s ability to secure points against Lecce.
However, low-scoring games have been a common theme, with less than 2.5 goals scored in 80% of these encounters, suggesting another tight game could be on the cards.

Odds accurate as of 09/05/2025 14:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.