Venezia vs. Fiorentina Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 12 May 2025

In this upcoming Serie A encounter, Venezia hosts Fiorentina at the historic Stadio Pierluigi Penzo. While Fiorentina is eyeing crucial points to stay in the hunt for European spots, currently sitting 9th with 59 points, Venezia is fighting for relegation survival, positioned 18th with 26 points.

Expect an intense match, with Fiorentina the bookmaker’s favourite given their current form, despite missing some key players like Moise Kean and Nicolo Zaniolo. On the other hand, Venezia will be hoping to bank on their recent home draw against Torino and a rare win against Monza to cause an upset.

Referee Matteo Marchetti, who averages 4.2 yellow cards per game, could keep things disciplined on the pitch.

Given Fiorentina’s attacking prowess and Venezia’s defensive struggles, our recommended bet is for Fiorentina to win.

Venezia vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting tip

Our recommended bet for this match is for Fiorentina to win. This tip is based on several key factors: their superior form, league standing, and attacking prowess. Additionally, Venezia’s struggles at home this season and recent head-to-head results favouring Fiorentina reinforce this prediction.

• Fiorentina aims for crucial points in the league and is ahead in the standings compared to Venezia.
• Venezia struggles at home with a recent record of 1-2-2.
• Fiorentina has won more matches than Venezia in their last five encounters.
  Expect an attacking style of play from Fiorentina, making them the favourites in this clash.

Venezia vs Fiorentina Odds

Looking at the bookmaker odds, Fiorentina is the favourite heading into this match against Venezia. Here’s how the odds stack up:

Given the standings, with Fiorentina sitting in 9th place with 59 points and Venezia struggling in 18th with just 26 points, it’s clear why the bookies favour Fiorentina. Their superior recent form and attacking prowess make them the likely candidates to take all three points in this encounter.

Venezia Team Analysis

Venezia Recent Performance

Venezia has had a mixed bag of results in their last five matches, with a win, three draws, and one loss. This patchy form has kept them in the relegation zone, struggling to climb up the standings. They have scored an average of 1.00 goal per game in their last five matches and managed only one clean sheet.

Recent Form: DLDWD
This uneven recent form highlights the home side’s struggle to find consistency. With only 26 points and sitting in 18th place, Venezia needs to turn things around rapidly to avoid relegation.

Venezia Key Players

Venezia’s hopes will largely rest on the shoulders of their top scorer, Joel Pohjanpalo, who has netted 6 goals this season. With a modest average of 1 goal per game in their last five matches, they will need Pohjanpalo to step up and find the back of the net.
Another player to watch is Christian Gytkjær, expected to lead the line again. The midfield battle will be crucial, with Hans Nicolussi Caviglia and Gianluca Busio expected to control the tempo.

Expected lineup for Venezia:

• Goalkeeper: Ionut Radu
• Defenders: Joel Schingtienne, Jay Idzes, Fali Candé
• Midfielders: Alessio Zerbin, Kike Perez, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Gianluca Busio, Ridgeciano Haps
• Attackers: John Yeboah, Christian Gytkjær

Key individual battles could involve Gytkjær facing Fiorentina’s solid defense, particularly Luca Ranieri and Marin Pongračić.

Venezia Suspensions & Injuries

Venezia will be without Michael Svoboda, who is sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury, and Richie Sagrado, who is doubtful due to a strain injury. These absences could significantly affect their defensive solidity and midfield versatility. Here’s the detailed injury list:

With these injuries, coach Eusebio Di Francesco will need to rely on his available squad members to step up, especially in such a crucial stage of the season where every point counts to avoid relegation.

Venezia Tactics and Formation

• Formation: 3-5-1-1
• Key Forward: Christian Gytkjær
• Midfield Setup:
  • Right midfielder: Alessio Zerbin
  • Right central midfielder: Kike Perez
  • Central midfielder: Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
  • Left central midfielder: Gianluca Busio
  • Left midfielder: Ridgeciano Haps

Defensive Strategy:

• Defensive Trio: Joel Schingtienne, Jay Idzes, Fali Candé
• Clean Sheet Record: Only one clean sheet in the last five games

Offensive Approach:

• Focus on a lone forward supported by an attacking midfielder, John Yeboah
• Average goal scoring rate: 1 goal per game in the last five games

Eusebio Di Francesco relies on a strong midfield presence to control the game and support both defense and attack. The team’s formation aims to maximize midfield strength while maintaining a solid backline. However, injuries and current form suggest a need for heightened defensive diligence.

Fiorentina Team Analysis

Fiorentina Recent Performance

Here’s a snapshot of Fiorentina’s last five matches:

Despite a mix of results, Fiorentina’s recent form is quite promising with two wins in their last three Serie A matches and a vital victory in the Conference League. They have averaged 1.40 goals per game but have struggled to keep clean sheets, managing none in their last five fixtures.

Raffaele Palladino will hope to carry forward the momentum from their European success into this crucial Serie A encounter to reinforce their top-half standing.

Fiorentina Key Players

Fiorentina boasts a dynamic squad featuring some standout players.
Moise Kean is their top scorer with 17 goals this season, making him a crucial attacking force. Although he’s doubtful for this match due to a muscle injury, his presence could be a game-changer.
Midfield maestro Nicolo Fagioli, expected in the lineup, has been pivotal in orchestrating play.
Albert Gudmundsson, part of the forward line, adds pace and flair up front.
Defensively, Luca Ranieri and Marin Pongračić will aim to neutralize Venezia’s attacks.

Expected lineup for Fiorentina:

• Goalkeeper: David De Gea
• Defenders: Marin Pongračić, Pablo Mari, Luca Ranieri
• Midfielders: Dodo, Nicolo Fagioli, Yacine Adli, Rolando Mandragora, Robin Gosens
• Attackers: Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean

Fiorentina Suspensions & Injuries

Fiorentina will be dealing with a few notable absences in their squad due to injuries and suspensions, which may affect their overall performance against Venezia.

Moise Kean, the team’s top scorer with 17 goals, is doubtful due to a muscle injury, which could hinder Fiorentina’s attacking options. Additionally, Nicolo Zaniolo is currently suspended for one match following a red card, leaving a gap in the midfield. Danilo Cataldi’s absence until late May due to a thigh injury adds to the midfield woes, while the return of Edoardo Bove remains uncertain due to heart problems.

These absences could force coach Raffaele Palladino to make significant tactical adjustments to compensate for the missing players.

Fiorentina Tactics and Formation

Fiorentina’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-1-4-2
• Goalkeeper: David De Gea
• Defensive Setup: Marin Pongračić, Pablo Mari, Luca Ranieri
• Midfield Dynamics: Nicolo Fagioli, Yacine Adli, Rolando Mandragora, Robin Gosens, Dodo
• Forwards: Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean

Fiorentina typically deploys a fluid, attacking 3-1-4-2 formation under coach Raffaele Palladino. The defensive trio provides a sturdy foundation, while David De Gea’s experience in goal adds an extra layer of security.

The midfield is dynamic with Adli and Mandragora controlling the tempo and creating opportunities for the forwards. Wing-backs Dodo and Gosens offer width, delivering crosses to the attacking pair of Gudmundsson and Kean (if fit). Expect high pressing and fast transitions, especially in the final third, to pressure the opponent’s defense.

Venezia vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head statistics show that both teams have had varied success in recent meetings. Fiorentina holds a slight edge with two wins in the last five encounters, while Venezia has managed one win and a draw. The most recent match ended in a goalless draw, indicating closely contested battles in recent seasons.

Odds accurate as of 10 May 2025 17:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.