Atalanta vs. Roma Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 12 May 2025

As we approach the business end of the Serie A season, Atalanta hosts Roma at Gewiss Stadium on 12 May 2025 at 19:45. With both teams vying for crucial points, this showdown carries significant weight.

Atalanta, sitting comfortably in 3rd place with 68 points, has been stellar, particularly at home. Gian Piero Gasperini’s side has shown consistency, securing three clean sheets in their last five games. However, injuries to key players like Scamacca and Scalvini pose a challenge.

Roma, in 6th place with 63 points, is fighting fiercely for a Champions League spot. Winning three consecutive matches 1-0 has underlined their defensive resilience. However, with Claudio Ranieri stepping down and Francesco Farioli as a potential successor, some uncertainty looms.

Given both teams’ form, a closely contested match is anticipated, potentially culminating in a draw.

Atalanta vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tip

The recommended bet for this clash is a draw, considering both Atalanta and Roma have demonstrated strong defensive performances and a knack for close contests recently.

• Both teams have consistently put forth commendable defensive efforts, each recording three clean sheets in their last five games.
• Atalanta have shown strength at home but face significant injury concerns, potentially leveling the playing field.
• Roma have been content with draws when necessary, reflecting steady results and resilience under pressure.

With this in mind, expect a fiercely contested, balanced match that could easily end without a clear victor.

Atalanta vs Roma Odds

Here’s a quick look at the betting odds for the upcoming clash.

With Atalanta being the bookmaker’s favourite thanks to their strong home form and higher league position, the odds reflect the potential for a tightly contested match. While Atalanta boasts impressive clean sheets and goal-scoring stats, Roma’s solid defence and knack for grinding out results means both teams are well-matched. Bettors should keep an eye on the odds, considering Atalanta’s injury list and Roma’s motivations for a Champions League spot, adding extra intrigue to what promises to be an exciting battle.

Atalanta Team Analysis

Atalanta Recent Performance

Recent Form: WDWWL

Atalanta has shown solid form in their last five matches, with three wins, one draw, and one loss. The team has scored an average of 1.60 goals per game and kept three clean sheets in this period, including a dominant 4-0 victory against Monza.

Atalanta’s defense has been strong, conceding only 0.9 goals on average this season. However, they will be eager to secure a top-three finish with a win against Roma to ensure a strong finish to the season.

Atalanta Key Players

Atalanta’s squad features some standout performers who have been pivotal this season. Mateo Retegui, their top scorer, with 24 goals in Serie A, will be a key attacking threat. His ability to find the net consistently makes him a player to watch. Charles De Ketelaere, deployed as a right attacking midfielder, has also been instrumental in creating chances, linking up well with the forward line. In the midfield, Marten de Roon plays a crucial role in both defense and attack, using his positional awareness to break up opposition play and initiate Atalanta’s offensive moves.

Expected lineup for Atalanta:

• Goalkeeper: Marco Carnesecchi
• Defenders: Berat Djimsiti, Marten de Roon, Odilon Kossounou
• Midfielders: Raoul Bellanova, Ederson José, Mario Pasalic, Davide Zappacosta
• Attackers: Charles De Ketelaere, Ademola Lookman, Mateo Retegui

Look out for battles between Retegui and Roma’s solid defenders like Gianluca Mancini, which will be critical in determining the flow of the game.

Atalanta Suspensions & Injuries

Atalanta will face some challenges due to key player absences.

Suspensions

Injuries

Several key players like Scamacca and Scalvini are out with injuries, which will heavily impact Atalanta’s squad depth and versatility. Lookman’s doubtful status particularly puts a dent in their attacking options. This could influence Gasperini’s tactical approach, possibly forcing him to make positional adjustments to compensate for these absences.

Atalanta Tactics and Formation

Atalanta Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Mateo Retegui
• Midfield Duo: Ederson José, Mario Pasalic
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Uses wingbacks Zappacosta and Bellanova extensively for width and crossing opportunities.

Atalanta, under Gian Piero Gasperini, employs a dynamic 3-4-2-1 formation. The central defense is solid with Djimsiti, De Roon, and Kossounou. The wingbacks, Zappacosta and Bellanova, push high up the pitch, providing crucial width and contributing to both offensive and defensive phases. In midfield, Ederson and Pasalic handle transitions and ball distribution. Upfront, the focus is on Mateo Retegui, supported by attacking midfielders Lookman and De Ketelaere—assuming Lookman is fit to play. Given their defensive solidity and versatile attack, Atalanta aims to control possession and dominate the flanks.

Roma Team Analysis

Roma Recent Performance

Roma have been on a solid run of form lately, going unbeaten in their last five matches. They have secured three wins and two draws, showing a tight defense with three clean sheets in that span. The team’s average goals scored in these matches is 1.00, indicating a steady, albeit modest, attacking output. Here’s a breakdown of their recent results:

With this string of positive results, Roma have accumulated 63 points and are currently positioned 6th in the Serie A standings. They’ll aim to continue this momentum against Atalanta.

Roma Key Players

Expected lineup for Roma:

• Goalkeeper: Mile Svilar
• Defenders: Zeki Celik, Gianluca Mancini, Evan N’Dicka
• Midfielders: Matias Soule, Manu Koné, Bryan Cristante, Angelino, Niccolo Pisilli
• Attackers: Eldor Shomurodov, Artem Dovbyk

Roma’s key players include their top scorer, Artem Dovbyk, who has netted 12 goals this season. In midfield, Bryan Cristante’s defensive work will be crucial, especially in the absence of Lorenzo Pellegrini. The defence, marshalled by Gianluca Mancini, will have to be on high alert to thwart Atalanta’s attacking threats, particularly Mateo Retegui.

A key individual battle to watch out for is Dovbyk against Atalanta’s centre-back duo, Berat Djimsiti and Odilon Kossounou. Cristante’s midfield tussle with Ederson José will also be pivotal in determining the flow of the game.

Roma Suspensions & Injuries

Currently, Roma is dealing with significant injuries to key players. Paulo Dybala is out for the remainder of the season with a hamstring injury, which leaves a substantial gap in Roma’s attacking options. Additionally, Lorenzo Pellegrini’s muscle injury keeps him sidelined until late May, weakening their midfield strength and leadership.

These absences could challenge Roma’s ability to maintain their recent form, especially against a high-flying Atalanta side. The team’s depth will be tested as Claudio Ranieri looks to adapt his tactics to compensate for these vital missing players.

Roma Tactics and Formation

Roma’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-1-2
• Key Forward: Artem Dovbyk
• Midfield Duo: Manu Koné and Bryan Cristante
• Defensive Trio: Zeki Çelik, Gianluca Mancini, Evan N’Dicka
• Notable Strategy: Solid defensive unit with three clean sheets in the last five games.

Claudio Ranieri’s Roma typically thrives on a solid defensive foundation. With a 3-4-1-2 setup, the defensive trio of Çelik, Mancini, and N’Dicka offers a blend of strength and tactical awareness. The midfield, featuring Koné and Cristante, forms the team’s engine, focusing on breaking up the opposition’s play and transitioning swiftly to attack. Eldor Shomurodov partners with Dovbyk up front, aiming to exploit any defensive lapses in Atalanta’s backline.

Expect Roma to rely heavily on strategic defensive play and quick counterattacks to challenge Atalanta at the Gewiss Stadium.

Atalanta vs Roma Head-to-Head Statistics

Recent matches between Atalanta and Roma have been quite favorable for Atalanta, who have won four of the last five meetings. The only game Roma managed to avoid defeat in was a hard-fought 1-1 draw in January 2024.

Atalanta’s ability to score in each of these matches, combined with Roma’s defensive struggles against them, will add an extra layer of excitement to this upcoming clash. Both teams are in form, setting the stage for an intriguing contest.

Odds accurate as of 10.05.2025 19:46, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.