Las Palmas vs. Valencia Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 3 May 2025

Welcome to the Estadio de Gran Canaria for an intriguing LaLiga clash between Las Palmas and Valencia on 3 May 2025. With the season winding down, both teams have much to play for—Las Palmas, currently 18th with 32 points, are fighting to stave off relegation, while 14th-placed Valencia, with 39 points, look to solidify a mid-table finish and possibly climb higher.

Recent history between these teams has been tight, with Las Palmas edging Valencia 3-2 in their last encounter. Valencia come into this match on a solid run, unbeaten in eight consecutive matches in the tournament, a testimony to coach Carlos Corberán’s robust tactics and effective player performances. Cristhian Mosquera has been a standout, even attracting interest from top clubs like PSG.

Both teams score and concede an average of 1.20 goals in their last five games, highlighting a balance of offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities. This makes a draw a reasonable bet, considering Valencia’s strong away form, having avoided defeat in their last five away matches.

Expect an evenly contested match under referee Ricardo De Burgos, with exciting individual battles across the pitch.

Las Palmas vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tip

| Las Palmas vs Valencia Prediction | |

|—————————————-|———————————–|

| Betting tip | Odds |

| Draw | 3.33 |

• Valencia have not lost in 8 consecutive matches in this tournament, showcasing their resilience.
• Both teams have shown a balance of offensive capabilities and defensive weaknesses, increasing the likelihood of an evenly matched game.
• Valencia’s recent away games have predominantly resulted in draws, highlighting their ability to hold their ground on the road.

Given these factors, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome, making it our recommended bet for this fixture.

Las Palmas vs Valencia Odds

Las Palmas vs Valencia Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Las Palmas	2.57
Draw	3.33
Valencia	2.70

Analyzing the odds, Las Palmas are the bookmaker’s favorite to edge this contest, but only slightly. This suggests a very tight game is expected.

With both teams performing evenly in recent matches and Valencia having a solid unbeaten run, the high odds for a draw (3.33) reflect a strong likelihood of this outcome. Considering Valencia’s away form and Las Palmas’ fighting spirit, this bet looks promising.

Las Palmas Team Analysis

Las Palmas Recent Performance

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Athletic Club	Las Palmas	2025-04-23	LaLiga	1-0 (Loss)
Las Palmas	Atletico Madrid	2025-04-19	LaLiga	1-0 (Win)
Getafe	Las Palmas	2025-04-12	LaLiga	1-3 (Win)
Las Palmas	Real Sociedad	2025-04-06	LaLiga	1-3 (Loss)
Celta Vigo	Las Palmas	2025-03-31	LaLiga	1-1 (Draw)

Recent Form: LWWLD

Las Palmas have had a mixed bag of results lately but have shown some resilience. Their recent form includes:

• A first clean sheet in five games against Atletico Madrid.
• Averaging 1.20 goals scored per game in their last five matches.
• They have earned 32 points but remain in 18th position, indicating they need to push for points to avoid relegation.

Diego Martinez will be looking to stabilise the defence as Las Palmas have conceded 1.6 goals on average this season.

Las Palmas Key Players

Las Palmas will be looking to their main man Fabio Silva, who has netted 10 goals this season, to lead the charge. While Silva is doubtful due to a muscle injury, the likes of Sandro Ramirez and Oliver McBurnie will have to step up and find the back of the net. One key battle to watch out for is Las Palmas’ forward line against Valencia’s standout defender Cristhian Mosquera, who has caught the eye of top European clubs.

Expected lineup for Las Palmas:

• Goalkeeper: Dinko Horkaš
• Right-back: Victor Álvarez Rozada
• Right center back: Alex Suarez
• Left center back: Scott McKenna
• Left back: Mika Marmol
• Midfielders: Javi Munoz, Stefan Bajcetic, Dario Essugo
• Forwards: Sandro Ramirez, Oliver McBurnie, Alberto Moleiro

Las Palmas Suspensions & Injuries

Las Palmas have several key players sidelined due to injuries, which could impact their performance significantly.

Player	Injury	Expected return
Kirian Rodriguez	Virus	Potential return unknown
Benito Ramírez	Thigh injury	Doubtful
Jasper Cillessen	Stomach trouble	Doubtful
Fábio Silva	Muscle injury	Doubtful

The absence of top scorer Fábio Silva could force manager Diego Martinez to rely heavily on Oliver McBurnie and Sandro Ramirez to find the net. With these absences, Las Palmas might struggle to put their best squad forward.

Las Palmas Tactics and Formation

Las Palmas Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Oliver McBurnie
• Midfield Trio: Javi Munoz, Stefan Bajcetic, Dario Essugo
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Strong focus on wing play with Sandro Ramirez and Alberto Moleiro.

Manager Diego Martinez tends to adopt a balanced 4-3-3 formation, optimizing both offensive and defensive plays.
With top scorer Fabio Silva potentially out due to injury, Oliver McBurnie will likely lead the attack.
Expect Sandro Ramirez and Alberto Moleiro to exploit the flanks, feeding crucial crosses into the box.

This setup allows Las Palmas to maintain a compact midfield, aiming for quick transitions and counter-attacks, despite their defensive inconsistencies.

Valencia Team Analysis

Valencia Recent Performance

Valencia have demonstrated consistent form recently, reflecting their resilience with a five-match unbeaten streak. Here’s a look at their recent results:

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Valencia	Espanyol	2025-04-22	LaLiga	1-1 (Draw)
Rayo Vallecano	Valencia	2025-04-19	LaLiga	1-1 (Draw)
Valencia	Sevilla	2025-04-11	LaLiga	1-0 (Win)
Real Madrid	Valencia	2025-04-05	LaLiga	1-2 (Win)
Valencia	Mallorca	2025-03-30	LaLiga	1-0 (Win)

Valencia average 1.2 goals per game in the last five matches and have kept two clean sheets. This resilience helped them earn draws against tough opponents like Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol, while impressive victories over Real Madrid and Mallorca show their capacity to challenge even stronger teams.

With an average concession of 1.4 goals this season, they have tightened their defense recently. Notably, they remain unbeaten in their last five LaLiga away games.

Valencia Key Players

Valencia boasts several key players who will be crucial in their upcoming clash against Las Palmas.

Expected lineup for Valencia:

• Goalkeeper: Giorgi Mamardashvili
• Defenders: Dimitri Foulquier, Mouctar Diakhaby, Cristhian Mosquera, José Gayà
• Midfielders: Enzo Barrenechea, Javi Guerra, Luís Rioja, André Almeida, Diego López
• Forward: Hugo Duro

Hugo Duro, Valencia’s top scorer with 8 goals, will be pivotal in breaking down Las Palmas’ defense. In midfield, André Almeida and Javi Guerra’s creativity and energy are vital. Another key player is captain José Gayà, whose defensive prowess and leadership will be essential.

Individual battles to watch include Hugo Duro against Las Palmas’ center backs, and André Almeida versus Las Palmas’ midfield enforcer Stefan Bajcetic.

Valencia Suspensions & Injuries

Valencia will be dealing with a few critical absences as they face Las Palmas.

Player	Injury	Expected return
Thierry Correia	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Player	Suspension	Expected return
——————	——————————	——————-
Cesar Tarrega	Yellow cards	1 match

Thierry Correia’s season-ending cruciate ligament injury is a significant blow to Valencia’s defensive stability. His absence will force the team to adjust their backline strategies.

Moreover, Cesar Tarrega’s suspension due to yellow card accumulation means Valencia will need to fill his spot for this match. This could impact the team’s defensive organization and may lead to a reshuffle in their defensive lineup, possibly introducing a less experienced player into the fold.

Injuries and suspensions like these can test a team’s depth and resilience, and Valencia will need others to step up in their absence.

Valencia Tactics and Formation

Valencia’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Defensive Setup: Giorgi Mamardashvili stands between the posts, flanked by Dimitri Foulquier and Jose Gaya as the full-backs. The center-back pairing will likely be Mouctar Diakhaby and Cristhian Mosquera, given Cesar Tarrega’s suspension.
• Midfield Engine: Enzo Barrenechea and Javi Guerra form a solid double pivot. They will be tasked with breaking up play and distributing the ball to the more advanced players.
• Offensive Prowess: Luis Rioja and Diego Lopez on the wings, with Andre Almeida in the attacking midfield role, creating a dynamic and versatile front line aimed at supporting Hugo Duro.

Valencia focuses on maintaining a compact shape defensively while looking to counter-attack swiftly using the pace and creativity of their wide players. The absence of Cesar Tarrega necessitates strong coordination among the defenders to maintain their cohesive unit.

Las Palmas vs Valencia Head-to-Head Statistics

Las Palmas	Valencia	Date	Competition	Result
Valencia	Las Palmas	2024-10-21	La Liga	2-3 (Loss)
Las Palmas	Valencia	2024-02-10	La Liga	2-0 (Win)
Valencia	Las Palmas	2023-08-18	La Liga	1-0 (Win)
Las Palmas	Valencia	2018-01-20	La Liga	2-1 (Win)
Valencia	Las Palmas	2018-01-09	Copa del Rey	4-0 (Loss)

Recent encounters have seen Las Palmas edge out Valencia in key fixtures, winning three of the last five matchups. This history adds an intriguing layer to their upcoming clash, making it a potentially tight contest. Both teams have a habit of pulling surprises, ensuring an exciting showdown awaits at the Estadio de Gran Canaria.

Odds accurate as of 1st May 2025, 17:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.