Mallorca vs. Las Palmas Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 16 February 2025

As we approach Round 24 of LaLiga, Mallorca will face off against Las Palmas at the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. The match kicks off this Sunday at 17:30 and promises to be a crucial encounter for both sides in their battle to move up the league standings.

Mallorca, currently in 10th place with 31 points, have had a rough patch recently, with a form of DLLLL. Despite this, they will be eager to turn things around with a win, especially since their past encounters with Las Palmas have been favorable.

Conversely, Las Palmas hold the 15th spot with just 23 points, suffering a form of LLDLL. A victory here is pivotal for them to distance themselves from the relegation zone.

Referee Miguel Ortiz, known for his light touch in games averaging only 0.3 red cards per game, will oversee the match. With Mallorca facing a host of injuries and suspensions, and Las Palmas missing key players like Fabio Silva and Sandro Ramirez, the game will likely depend on how well each team adapts to these disruptions.

Given both teams’ recent form and history, a bet on a Mallorca win, with odds at 1.87, seems like the most realistic prediction. With only four rounds left in the season, every match carries extra weight, making this a must-watch for LaLiga fans.

Mallorca vs Las Palmas Prediction & Betting Tip

Given the current circumstances, our recommended betting tip is for Mallorca to win. This tip is backed by both recent trends and specific match facts:

• Recent Form: Mallorca’s last five matches have shown some promise, despite limited victories. Las Palmas, on the other hand, have struggled significantly, failing to secure a win in their last five games.
• Head-to-Head: Mallorca has a strong track record against Las Palmas, winning 2 out of their last 3 encounters.
• Home Advantage: Mallorca will have the home advantage at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, where they previously won 1-0 against Las Palmas. This could provide the edge they need to secure a victory.

Betting on Mallorca for this match seems like a solid choice based on these insights.

Mallorca vs Las Palmas Odds

Given these odds, Mallorca is the bookmakers’ favorite, reflecting their relatively higher league position and home advantage. The draw is also a plausible outcome but is less likely according to the odds. Las Palmas, while the underdog, could still offer a high-reward bet if they manage to secure an unexpected win. Considering the recent form where both teams have struggled for wins, Mallorca’s home advantage could prove crucial.

Mallorca Team Analysis

Mallorca Recent Performance

Mallorca’s recent run of form has been less than stellar, having failed to secure a win in their last five matches.

Their recent form reads as: DLLLL. Over these games, Mallorca has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.20 goals per match and failing to keep a single clean sheet. Despite their current 10th position in LaLiga and being favourites for the upcoming match, Mallorca needs to find a way to convert their home advantage into points to climb back up the standings.

Mallorca Key Players

Mallorca will look to break free from their recent poor form by relying on key players, particularly their top scorer, Cyle Larin, who has netted 5 goals this season.
Vedat Muriqi, expected to start as the center forward, will also be key in leading the attack alongside the skillful winger Dani Rodriguez.
In midfield, Sergi Darder is a linchpin, setting the pace and distributing the ball effectively. Omar Mascarell, returning from suspension, will add steel to the defensive midline.
Expected lineup for Mallorca:

• Goalkeeper: Dominik Greif
• Defenders: Pablo Maffeo, Antonio Raillo, Martin Valjent, Johan Mojica
• Midfielders: Omar Mascarell, José Manuel Arias Copete, Robert Navarro, Sergi Darder, Dani Rodriguez
• Forwards: Vedat Muriqi

Individual battles to watch include Larin and Muriqi against Las Palmas’ defenders Scott McKenna and Alex Suarez.

Mallorca Suspensions & Injuries

Mallorca is currently dealing with several injury concerns that might impact their performance against Las Palmas. Three key midfielders are sidelined, which could disrupt their cohesion in the middle of the park.

The absence of Morlanes and Sánchez, both crucial in providing depth and stability, might force coach Jagoba Arrasate to shuffle his lineup. Additionally, the potential absence of Samú Costa further complicates their strategy.
Mallorca’s depth in midfield will be tested, and players like Omar Mascarell and Sergi Darder need to step up to fill the gaps.

Mallorca Tactics and Formation

Mallorca Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Vedat Muriqi
• Midfield Setup: Defensive midfield pairing of Omar Mascarell and José Manuel Arias Copete.
• Defensive Line: Maffeo and Mojica as full-backs, with Raillo and Valjent at the heart of the defense.

Mallorca has struggled to keep clean sheets recently, emphasizing the need for tactical solidity. The midfield pivots Mascarell and Copete will be crucial in shielding the backline and controlling the tempo. With key injuries, their depth will be tested.

Their attack relies heavily on the creativity of Darder and the goal-scoring prowess of Muriqi. Expect a cautious build-up with quick transitions aimed at exploiting Las Palmas’ defensive weaknesses, especially in the second half when they usually score.

Las Palmas Team Analysis

Las Palmas Recent Performance

Las Palmas have struggled in their recent run of games, marked by 1 draw and 4 losses. Their performances lack consistency, and defensive frailties have been evident.

• Recent Form: LLDLL
• Average Goals Scored in Last 5 Games: 1.00
• Clean Sheets in Last 5 Games: 0
  | Home Team | Away Team | Result |
  |——————|——————|—————-|
  | Las Palmas | Villarreal | 1-2 (Loss) |
  | Girona | Las Palmas | 2-1 (Loss) |
  | Las Palmas | Osasuna | 1-1 (Draw) |
  | Real Madrid | Las Palmas | 4-1 (Loss) |
  | Las Palmas | Getafe | 1-2 (Loss) |

Las Palmas’ defense has been leak-prone, conceding 10 goals in their last 5 games. Their attacking output remains moderate with exactly 1 goal per game, highlighting their need for better conversion rates.

Las Palmas Key Players

Expected lineup for Las Palmas:

• Goalkeeper: Jasper Cillessen
• Defenders: Victor Álvarez Rozada, Alex Suárez, Scott McKenna, Mika Mármol
• Midfielders: Javi Munoz, Enzo Loiodice, Manuel Fuster, Benito Ramírez, Alberto Moleiro
• Attacker: Oliver McBurnie

In the absence of top scorer Fábio Silva, Oliver McBurnie will step up as the primary attacking threat. McBurnie’s physical presence will be crucial against Mallorca’s defensive duo of Antonio Raíllo and Martin Valjent.
Alberto Moleiro and Benito Ramírez are significant in delivering creative play from the wings, aiming to exploit any frailties in Mallorca’s fullbacks, Pablo Maffeo and Johan Mojica. The battle between Moleiro and Maffeo could be a key matchup on the pitch, influencing the attacking opportunities for Las Palmas.

Las Palmas Suspensions & Injuries

Injuries:

Suspensions:

Las Palmas face significant challenges with key players like Fábio Silva and José Campaña sidelined. The absence of Silva, their top scorer, will particularly impact their attacking threat. Stefan Bajcetic and Adnan Januzaj also being doubtful further limit their midfield and defensive options.

Adding to their woes, the suspensions of Dario Essugo and Sandro Ramirez will deplete their squad depth, potentially affecting team cohesion and performance against Mallorca.

Las Palmas Tactics and Formation

Las Palmas Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Predicted 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Oliver McBurnie
• Midfield Trio: Manuel Fuster, Benito Ramírez, Alberto Moleiro
• Defensive Strength: Holding the line with Alex Suárez and Scott McKenna.

Despite the challenging injury list, head coach Diego Martinez is likely to stick with a 4-2-3-1 formation. The game plan centres on maintaining solid defensive cover through Alex Suárez and Scott McKenna, who are expected to anchor the backline.

In midfield, the focus will be on the defensive pairing of Javi Munoz and Enzo Loiodice, who need to break up Mallorca’s attacking plays and transition quickly into counter-attacks. The creative burden will lie on Alberto Moleiro and Manuel Fuster supporting Oliver McBurnie up front, hoping to exploit any defensive frailties in Mallorca’s lineup.

Mallorca vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head Statistics

Looking at the last five meetings between these two teams, Mallorca seems to have the upper hand with two wins, two draws, and just one loss.
Their last encounter, an away game for Mallorca, ended in a thrilling 3-2 victory. This suggests that we could be in for a closely contested match on 16 February 2025.
Las Palmas will be keen to reverse their recent misfortunes against Mallorca at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.

Odds accurate as of 14th February 2025 17:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.