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Deportivo Garcilaso vs. Universitario de Deportes Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 6 July 2025

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Deportivo Garcilaso0 - 1Universitario de Deportes

An exciting clash is set for 6 July 2025, as Deportivo Garcilaso hosts league leaders Universitario de Deportes in the final round of the Primera Division. With kick-off at 23:30, this match holds significance for both teams in the context of the competition.

Deportivo Garcilaso, currently 8th on the table with 27 points, has shown defensive resilience recently, securing two clean sheets in their last five games. Managed by Guillermo Duró, they will aim to make the most of their home advantage despite missing Xavi Moreno due to suspension.

Universitario de Deportes, perched at the top with 35 points, has been in stellar form, keeping four clean sheets in their last five matches. Under the guidance of Jorge Fossati, their offensive prowess, led by top scorer Alex Valera, will be crucial.

Considering Deportivo Garcilaso’s solid home record and recent good form, our recommended bet would be for the home side to win or draw. Universitario de Deportes remains the bookmaker’s favorite, but this will undoubtedly be a tough away fixture for them.

This matchup promises to be an engaging contest, adding another chapter to the captivating drama of the Primera Division season.

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario de Deportes Prediction & Betting tip

For this eagerly anticipated fixture in the Primera Division, we’ve recommended a betting tip that considers both teams’ recent form and statistical performance. Deportivo Garcilaso hosting Universitario de Deportes promises to be closely contested, and we believe a double chance bet for the home side is a solid choice.

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario de Deportes Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to win or draw 1.67
  • Deportivo Garcilaso’s defensive resilience: With two clean sheets in their last five matches, they’ve demonstrated solidity at the back, capable of stifling even strong attacks.
  • Universitario de Deportes away challenge: Despite their excellent form, playing away from home always comes with added pressure, making a draw or narrow win for Garcilaso plausible.
  • Decent home record: Deportivo Garcilaso enjoys a decent home record, and playing on familiar ground often gives them an edge, further strengthening the expectation for them to avoid defeat.

This betting tip leverages the strengths and recent performances of both sides, providing a balanced and practical wagering option.

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario de Deportes Odds

When it comes to the betting odds for this clash, Universitario de Deportes is considered the favourite. However, Deportivo Garcilaso has shown defensive resilience recently, making this an intriguing match-up.

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario de Deportes Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to win 3.40
Draw 3.07
Universitario de Deportes to win 2.10

While Universitario de Deportes are the bookmaker’s pick with odds of 2.10, Garcilaso’s chances of an upset shouldn’t be discarded given their solid form at home. A draw at 3.07 is also a plausible outcome, particularly considering Garcilaso’s tendency to tighten up defensively.

Betting enthusiasts might find value in a double chance bet on Deportivo Garcilaso to win or draw, considering their home advantage and defensive capabilities.

Deportivo Garcilaso Team Analysis

Deportivo Garcilaso Recent Performance

Recent Form: DWLWL
Deportivo Garcilaso has had an up-and-down run in their last five matches. Despite sitting in 8th position with 27 points, they have shown moments of brilliance and resilience, particularly in their home games. Statistically, they have averaged 1.60 goals per game and kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Asociación Deportiva Tarma Deportivo Garcilaso 2025-06-28 Primera División 0-0 (Draw)
Deportivo Garcilaso Ayacucho FC 2025-06-22 Primera División 2-1 (Win)
Sporting Cristal Deportivo Garcilaso 2025-06-15 Primera División 3-2 (Loss)
Deportivo Garcilaso ADC Juan Pablo II 2025-05-25 Primera División 4-0 (Win)
Alianza Atlético Deportivo Garcilaso 2025-05-16 Primera División 1-0 (Loss)

Deportivo Garcilaso has demonstrated strong defensive performances, managing to concede only 1 goal in two of these five outings. Their offensive displays, highlighted by a 4-0 thrashing of ADC Juan Pablo II, indicate their potential to score when needed.
Going into their upcoming match against Universitario de Deportes, Guillermo Duró’s side will need to maintain their solid defensive stance while capitalizing on scoring opportunities to secure a favorable result.

Deportivo Garcilaso Key Players

Deportivo Garcilaso boasts some key individuals who have been instrumental this season. Pablo Erustes, the team’s top scorer with 10 goals, is essential to Garcilaso’s attack and will be a critical player to watch. His partnership with forwards Ezequiel Naya and Adrian Ugarriza offers the side a multi-pronged attacking threat.

The expected lineup for Deportivo Garcilaso:

  • Goalkeeper: Patrick Zubczuk
  • Defenders: Aldair Salazar, Ignacio Gariglio, Juan Lojas, Orlando Nunez, Erick Canales
  • Midfielders: Pablo Erustes, Enmanuel Paucar, Kevin Sandoval
  • Forwards: Ezequiel Naya, Adrian Ugarriza

Erustes will likely go up against Williams Riveros and Matias Di Benedetto from Universitario, making for a fascinating individual battle. Midfielders such as Enmanuel Paucar will need to control the tempo against Universitario’s dynamic midfield, particularly Rodrigo Ureña and Martin Perez Guedes.

On the defensive end, Patrick Zubczuk’s shot-stopping abilities will be tested by Alex Valera, Universitario’s top scorer. Garcilaso’s ability to leverage these key players effectively could be the difference-maker in this match.

Deportivo Garcilaso Suspensions & Injuries

For this match, Deportivo Garcilaso will be without one key player due to suspension:

Player Suspension Expected return
Xavi Moreno Yellow/red card 12/07/2025

Xavi Moreno’s absence due to suspension will be a significant blow for Deportivo Garcilaso, particularly in the midfield where his presence and defensive contributions have been notable. With no other injuries reported, the team should have the rest of their squad available, which gives them some stability. However, the challenge will be finding an effective replacement for Moreno to maintain their midfield structure against a strong opponent like Universitario de Deportes.

Deportivo Garcilaso Tactics and Formation

Deportivo Garcilaso Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-3-3
  • Key Forward: Ezequiel Naya
  • Midfield Trio: Pablo Erustes, Enmanuel Paucar, Kevin Sandoval
  • Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
  • Notable Strategy: Focused on maintaining a tight defence and quick counter-attacks.

Guillermo Duró is likely to line up his team in a 4-3-3 formation, emphasizing a balance between solid defence and offensive opportunities. With Patrick Zubczuk in goal, the backline of Aldair Salazar, Ignacio Gariglio, Juan Lojas, and Erick Canales will need to stay disciplined to fend off Universitario’s potent attack.

In the midfield, the absence of Xavi Moreno due to suspension will be felt, but Pablo Erustes, Enmanuel Paucar, and Kevin Sandoval form a capable trio, expected to control the game’s tempo and disrupt the opposition’s play.

The attacking duties will fall heavily on the shoulders of forwards Ezequiel Naya and Adrian Ugarriza, with Naya being the focal point due to his scoring prowess. Expect Deportivo Garcilaso to rely on a compact defensive shape, looking to exploit counter-attacks and set-pieces to break down Universitario’s defence.

Universitario de Deportes Team Analysis

Universitario de Deportes Recent Performance

Universitario de Deportes has been in excellent form lately, with a string of impressive results that underscore their dominance in the league. Their recent performances have been marked by solid defensive displays and a potent attack, reflecting their top position in the standings.
Recent Form: WWWDW

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Atletico Grau Universitario de Deportes 2025-06-26 Primera Division Apertura 0-2 (Win)
Universitario de Deportes Asociación Deportiva Tarma 2025-06-21 Primera Division Apertura 5-0 (Win)
Ayacucho FC Universitario de Deportes 2025-06-15 Primera Division Apertura 0-1 (Win)
River Plate Universitario de Deportes 2025-05-28 Copa Libertadores Grp. B 1-1 (Draw)
Universitario de Deportes Sporting Cristal 2025-05-23 Primera Division Apertura 2-0 (Win)

Universitario has notched up 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, including a commanding 5-0 victory over Asociación Deportiva Tarma. They have maintained 4 clean sheets in these games, showcasing their defensive solidity.
Offensively, Universitario has averaged 2.20 goals per match in their last 5 fixtures, with Alex Valera leading the charge. This impressive balance between attack and defense has been pivotal in their successful run.

Universitario de Deportes Key Players

Universitario de Deportes, sitting at the top of the table, have several standout players who could make the difference in this clash against Deportivo Garcilaso.

  • Alex Valera: The team’s top scorer with 7 goals this season. His clinical finishing and ability to find space are vital for Universitario’s attacking prowess.
  • Andy Polo: Operating as a right midfielder, Polo is known for his pace and dribbling skills. His ability to stretch defenses and deliver key passes could be crucial.
  • Sebastian Britos: The goalkeeper has been a fortress between the sticks, with 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games. His shot-stopping abilities provide a strong foundation at the back.

Key individual battles to watch include Valera against Garcilaso’s central defenders, and Polo facing off against Garcilaso’s full-backs.

Expected lineup for Universitario de Deportes:

  • Goalkeeper: Sebastian Britos
  • Defenders: Aldo Corzo, Williams Riveros, Matias Di Benedetto
  • Midfielders: Andy Polo, Jairo Concha, Martin Perez Guedes, Rodrigo Ureña, Cesar Inga
  • Forwards: Jose Rivera, Alex Valera

Universitario de Deportes Suspensions & Injuries

Universitario de Deportes head into their match against Deportivo Garcilaso without any reported injuries or suspensions. This clean bill of health provides a significant advantage, ensuring that Jorge Fossati can field his strongest eleven. Having a full squad means continuity in their tactics and strategies, which has seen them secure a brilliant top spot in the league standings. With the likes of Alex Valera and Andy Polo fit and ready to perform, Universitario de Deportes will look to maintain their superb form and potentially widen the gap at the top of the table.

Universitario de Deportes Tactics and Formation

Universitario de Deportes’ Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-1-4-2
  • Key Forwards: Alex Valera and Jose Rivera
  • Midfield Quintet: Rodrigo Ureña, Martin Perez Guedes, Jairo Concha, Andy Polo, Cesar Inga
  • Defensive Trio: Aldo Corzo, Williams Riveros, Matias Di Benedetto
  • Key Defensive Note: Four clean sheets in their last five matches

Tactical Approach:

  • Strong Defensive Unit: Utilizing a back three that has shown resilience, keeping most opponents at bay with significant help from the disciplined defensive midfielder, Jairo Concha.
  • Dynamic Midfield: The midfield five is a blend of creative playmakers and relentless workers like Polo and Ureña, who dictate the play and press high.
  • Forward Threat: Led by their star striker, Valera, their attacking strategy relies on creating and exploiting spaces, particularly through quick counter-attacks.

Notable Strategy:

  • High Intensity in Final Third: They tend to peak their performance late in both halves, often capitalizing on defensive lapses of the opponents during these periods.

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario de Deportes Head-to-Head Statistics

Home Away Date Competition Result
Universitario de Deportes Deportivo Garcilaso 2024-08-17 Liga 1 Clausura 3-1
Deportivo Garcilaso Universitario de Deportes 2024-03-09 Liga 1 Apertura 2-2
Universitario de Deportes Deportivo Garcilaso 2023-08-20 Liga 1 Clausura 1-1
Deportivo Garcilaso Universitario de Deportes 2023-04-01 Liga 1 Apertura 0-0

The last five encounters between Deportivo Garcilaso and Universitario de Deportes have been quite competitive. Universitario holds the edge with one win, while the other three matches ended in draws. This head-to-head record suggests both teams are capable of holding their own in this fixture, promising an intriguing battle on the pitch.

Odds accurate as of 07.04.2025 23:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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