Real Valladolid vs. Deportivo Alaves Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 18 May 2025

On 18 May 2025, Real Valladolid will welcome Deportivo Alaves to Estadio Jose Zorrilla for what promises to be a crucial LaLiga encounter, kicking off at 18:00. With Real Valladolid already confirmed for relegation, sitting last with just 16 points, the pressure is solely on Deportivo Alaves, who are in 17th place and fighting to secure their La Liga status.

Deportivo Alaves are the bookmaker favorites, reflected in their win odds of 1.58. In contrast, Valladolid, who have endured a string of 15 losses in their last 16 matches, have lengthy odds of 5.90. Additionally, Valladolid has been plagued with injuries to key players and managed a mere 1 point from their last five outings, highlighting their dire season.

In contrast, Alaves has shown resilience, with a recent win against Valencia boosting their confidence. They can ensure their top-flight survival with a win, making this match particularly vital for them. Considering these dynamics, betting on Alaves with a -1.0 Asian Handicap is recommended.

Expect Valladolid to adopt a defensive strategy, especially given their poor form and injury troubles. However, Alaves’ average of 3 yellow cards this season and Valladolid’s 2.7 signals a potentially feisty matchup. All in all, Alaves’ superior form and strong motivation make them the likely victors in this La Liga clash.

Real Valladolid vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction & Betting Tip

• Recommended bet: Alaves -1.0 Asian Handicap.
  Deportivo Alaves have shown stronger form and greater consistency in their recent performances, evidenced by their three wins and a draw in their last five matches. Real Valladolid, on the other hand, are already confirmed for relegation and have lost their last five games. This betting tip capitalizes on Alaves’ need to secure their La Liga status, their relatively better form, and Valladolid’s injury struggles and poor season.

• Deportivo Alaves have won two out of their last three encounters against Real Valladolid.
• Real Valladolid are significantly hindered by injuries and recent poor performances.
• A win for Alaves will ensure their top-flight survival, adding extra motivation.

Real Valladolid vs Deportivo Alaves Odds

Here’s a look at the betting odds for the upcoming clash between Real Valladolid and Deportivo Alaves:

Deportivo Alaves are clear favorites according to the bookmakers, due to their stronger recent form and the fact that a win would secure their La Liga status for next season.
Real Valladolid have struggled significantly this season and are already relegated, which explains their long odds for a win.
A draw is considered less likely but remains a possibility.

Real Valladolid Team Analysis

Real Valladolid Recent Performance

Real Valladolid has endured a tough spell, losing their last five matches and confirming their relegation from La Liga this season. Recent form shows an unflattering string of results, including heavy defeats like the 5-1 loss against Real Betis.

Despite averaging 1 goal per game in their last five matches, they failed to keep any clean sheets, underscoring their defensive vulnerabilities. With 16 points, they find themselves at the bottom of the table, struggling to mount any substantial resistance. Injuries to key defensive players like Javi Sánchez and Joseph Aidoo have exacerbated their plight.

Real Valladolid Key Players

For Real Valladolid, key players to watch include top scorer Mamadou Sylla, who has netted 5 goals this season, and midfielder Florian Grillitsch. Despite Valladolid’s underwhelming season, these players have been bright spots in a difficult campaign.

Expect Álvaro Rubio to rely heavily on this lineup:

• Goalkeeper: Karl Hein
• Defenders: Anuar, Iago Parente, Cenk Özkacar, Henrique
• Midfielders: Eray Cömert, Mario Martín, Iván Sánchez, Florian Grillitsch, Raúl Moro
• Forward: Juanmi Latasa

Individual battles to keep an eye on include Sylla against Alavés’ sturdy centre-backs, and Grillitsch in a midfield clash against Jon Guridi.

With key players out due to injuries, such as Javi Sánchez, the burden falls heavier on the likes of Sylla and Grillitsch to spur an upset.

Real Valladolid Suspensions & Injuries

Real Valladolid is battling a significant injury crisis, which will inevitably affect their performance. They have no suspended players, but their injury list is extensive:

These injuries have depleted their defensive options, putting more pressure on the remaining squad. With key defenders out, Real Valladolid might struggle to contain Deportivo Alaves’ attacks, highlighting the importance of their current fit players to step up.

Real Valladolid Tactics and Formation

Real Valladolid Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Juanmi Latasa
• Midfield Trio: Ivan Sanchez, Florian Grillitsch, Raul Moro
• Defensive Setup: Anuar, Iago Parente, Cenk Ozkacar, Henrique
• Goalkeeper: Karl Hein

Given their recent struggles, Real Valladolid is likely to adopt a defensive strategy, focusing on maintaining a solid backline to counter Deportivo Alaves’ attacks. Expect Álvaro Rubio to emphasize tight marking and quick counter-attacks orchestrated by their midfield general, Florian Grillitsch. The absence of key defenders like Javi Sánchez and Joseph Aidoo means more responsibility for Hein in goal and Ozkacar to step up defensively. Valladolid’s vulnerability in defense will be an area Alaves could exploit, making this a critical point of focus in their formation.

Deportivo Alaves Team Analysis

Deportivo Alaves Recent Performance

• Recent Form: WLDWD

Deportivo Alaves have shown resilience in their recent matches, securing 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games. Their defensive solidity is evident with 3 clean sheets in this period, a key factor in their performances.

Though only averaging 0.60 goals per game in the last 5 matches, Alaves have managed to grind out crucial points. This defensive strength, coupled with their urgency to avoid relegation, makes them formidable.

Deportivo Alaves Key Players

Expected lineup for Deportivo Alaves:

• Goalkeeper: Antonio Sivera
• Defenders: Nahuel Tenaglia, Facundo Garcés, Santiago Mourino, Manu Sánchez
• Midfielders: Ander Guevara, Antonio Blanco, Carlos Vicente, Jon Guridi, Carles Aleñá
• Forward: Kike García

Kike García, their top scorer with 12 goals, will be a significant threat upfront for Deportivo Alaves. His ability to convert chances is crucial, especially given Valladolid’s defensive struggles.

In midfield, Antonio Blanco and Carles Aleñá are vital for their ball distribution and control, often setting the tempo for Alaves.

On the defensive front, Nahuel Tenaglia and Facundo Garcés need to keep a close watch on Real Valladolid’s attackers, particularly Mamadou Sylla, to maintain their recent defensive solidity.

Deportivo Alaves Suspensions & Injuries

Deportivo Alaves are relatively fortunate with their injury situation. The only notable absentee is defender Abdel Abqar, who is sidelined with a hamstring injury and expected to return in early June 2025.

While Abqar’s absence is a blow to their defensive stability, Alaves still have a robust lineup available. The defense will rely heavily on Facundo Garces and Santiago Mourino to fill the void left by Abqar. With key players largely fit, Alaves maintain a solid chance to secure a crucial victory.

Deportivo Alaves Tactics and Formation

Deportivo Alaves Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Kike Garcia
• Midfield Duo: Ander Guevara, Antonio Blanco
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Strong defensive organization and disciplined play, recording an average of 3 yellow cards per match.

Alaves often utilize a 4-2-3-1 formation which provides both defensive solidity and attacking options. The defensive line, comprised of Nahuel Tenaglia, Facundo Garces, Santiago Mourino, and Manu Sanchez, has been crucial in maintaining clean sheets.

In midfield, Guevara and Blanco are pivotal in breaking up opposition play and transitioning from defense to attack. Up front, Kike Garcia leads the line, supported by midfielders Carlos Vicente, Jon Guridi, and Carles Alena.

This balanced approach has allowed Alaves to capitalize on both defensive and attacking phases efficiently.

Real Valladolid vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head Statistics

In their last five meetings, Deportivo Alaves have won three times, while Real Valladolid have claimed victory twice. This head-to-head data suggests a competitive edge for Deportivo Alaves, although results have been mixed when Real Valladolid are at home.

Odds accurate as of 16/05/2025 18:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.