Las Palmas vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 19 April 2025

This Saturday, Las Palmas will host Atletico Madrid at the Estadio de Gran Canaria in a crucial LaLiga fixture. With the season entering its final phases, the stakes are high for both teams. Las Palmas, sitting in 18th place with 29 points, is battling to avoid relegation. On the other hand, Atletico Madrid, third with 63 points, aims to solidify their Champions League spot.

Referee Victor Garcia will oversee the match, which kicks off at 20:00 under cloudy skies with a mild temperature of 12°C, setting the stage for an intense and fast-paced encounter.

Historically, Atletico Madrid has dominated this matchup, winning four of the last five encounters. Las Palmas has defensive issues to address, having not kept any clean sheets in their last five games and conceding an average of 1.7 goals per match. Atletico’s defensive solidity this season is somewhat better, allowing on average 0.8 goals per game.

With both teams showing a tendency for high-scoring games—Las Palmas averaging 2.9 goals per match and Atletico 1.8 goals—betting tips favor over 2.5 goals in this clash. Las Palmas’s fighting spirit to avoid relegation is expected to make this a fiercely contested match.

Our prediction: Atletico Madrid to edge out Las Palmas in a goal-laden encounter.

Las Palmas vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tip

Given the attacking tendencies of both teams and their defensive vulnerabilities on display, our recommended betting tip for this clash is Over 2.5 goals. Las Palmas averages 2.9 goals per match, indicating a higher likelihood of a goal-fest. Additionally, Atletico Madrid’s occasional defensive lapses make this bet particularly enticing.

Reasons why this prediction is sound:

• Both teams exhibit high-scoring patterns, with Las Palmas fighting to avoid relegation and likely to adopt an aggressive approach.
• Atletico Madrid has demonstrated fluctuations in defense, potentially allowing more goals.
• Las Palmas concedes 1.7 goals on average per match, further increasing the chances of a high-scoring game.

Las Palmas vs Atletico Madrid Odds

This matchup sees Atletico Madrid as the clear favorite, given their superior position in the La Liga standings and recent performance against Las Palmas.

Atletico Madrid’s odds reflect their dominance and consistent record against Las Palmas, having won four of their last five meetings. Las Palmas, struggling in 18th place, faces an uphill battle but may draw hope from an aggressive strategy and occasional defensive lapses from Atletico.

With Atletico scoring reliably in most matches this season and Las Palmas fighting to avoid relegation, the game promises competitive fervor despite the odds favoring Madrid.

Las Palmas Team Analysis

Las Palmas Recent Performance

• Recent Form: WLDDL
  Las Palmas has been grappling with inconsistency as they fight to stave off relegation. With one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches, their form has been patchy at best.
• Home team average goals: 1.40
• Home team clean sheets: 0

Las Palmas has struggled defensively, conceding goals in each of their last five games. Despite this, they average 1.40 goals per game, indicating they can find the net but need to shore up defensively to improve their chances.

Las Palmas Key Players

As Las Palmas battles to avoid relegation, key players must step up against a formidable Atletico Madrid side. Fabio Silva, the home team’s top scorer with 10 goals, will be crucial in spearheading the attack. His partnership with Oliver McBurnie could challenge Atletico’s defense, especially with Silva’s knack for finding the net in the dying minutes of games.
Midfielders Stefan Bajcetic and Alberto Moleiro are expected to provide creativity and control in the midfield, which is crucial for Las Palmas’ game plan.

Expected lineup for Las Palmas:

• Goalkeeper: Dinko Horkas
• Defenders: Marvin Park, Alex Suarez, Scott McKenna, Mika Marmol
• Midfielders: Javi Munoz, Stefan Bajcetic, Alberto Moleiro, Sandro Ramirez
• Forwards: Oliver McBurnie, Fabio Silva

Key individual battles to watch include Silva vs Gimenez and Bajcetic vs Koke.

Las Palmas Suspensions & Injuries

Las Palmas will have to navigate their crucial match against Atletico Madrid without some key players due to injuries.

The absence of Kirian Rodríguez, Benito Ramírez, and Jasper Cillessen could significantly impact the team’s performance, especially given their defensive struggles.
Manager Diego Martinez will have to rely on his squad depth to cover these gaps, making the task against a strong Atletico Madrid side even more challenging.

Las Palmas Tactics and Formation

Las Palmas Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Expected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation.
• Key Forward: Fabio Silva, who has netted 10 goals this season, will be crucial for the attack.
• Midfield Trio: Javi Munoz, Stefan Bajcetic, and Alberto Moleiro will anchor the midfield, aiming to control possession and support both defense and attack.
• Defensive Strength: Despite a struggling defense, the back line will feature experienced players like Scott McKenna and Mika Mármol.
• Notable Strategy: Las Palmas tends to score most of their goals in the 76-90 minute interval, indicating a late-game surge in attacking intensity.

With the team fighting to avoid relegation, expect a determined and aggressive approach from Diego Martinez’s side.

Atletico Madrid Team Analysis

Atletico Madrid Recent Performance

In their last five matches, Atletico Madrid have shown a mixed bag of results with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Recently, they have been more successful in LaLiga, picking up crucial wins against Real Valladolid and Sevilla, but they slipped in the Copa del Rey against Barcelona, losing 0-1.

Despite no clean sheets in their last five games, they average 1.8 goals scored per match, indicating a potent attacking force. Their defensive stability might be a concern, but with Julian Alvarez leading the attack with 14 goals this season, they remain a formidable side.

Atletico Madrid Key Players

Expected lineup for Atletico Madrid:

• Goalkeeper: Jan Oblak
• Defenders: Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, Javi Galán
• Midfielders: Giuliano Simeone, Koke, Pablo Barrios, Conor Gallagher
• Attackers: Alexander Sørloth, Julián Álvarez

Julián Álvarez, with 14 goals, will be pivotal in their attacking play. Supported by Koke and Pablo Barrios in midfield, Atletico has a strong spine. Jan Oblak, despite recent defensive lapses, remains key at the back. The battle between Álvarez and Las Palmas’ centre-backs Alex Suárez and Scott McKenna is one to watch. Conor Gallagher’s energy in midfield could also tip the scales in Atletico’s favour.

Atletico Madrid Suspensions & Injuries

Atletico Madrid will be without the services of Rodrigo De Paul and Samuel Dias Lino due to muscle injuries. Both are expected to return by late April, but their absence could affect the depth of Diego Simeone’s squad.

Rodrigo De Paul’s creativity and work ethic in midfield will be missed, potentially putting more responsibility on Koke and Pablo Barrios to control the game. Additionally, without Samuel Lino, Atletico might lose some flair and width on the flanks. This could lead to tactical adjustments, with more emphasis on central play and creativity from their forwards.

Atletico Madrid Tactics and Formation

Atletico Madrid’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forwards: Julián Álvarez and Alexander Sørloth
• Midfield Quartet: Giuliano Simeone, Koke, Pablo Barrios, Conor Gallagher
• Defensive Line: Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clément Lenglet, Javi Galán
• Goalkeeper: Jan Oblak

Diego Simeone’s side is likely to stick with their reliable 4-4-2 formation. Koke and Barrios are pivotal in the midfield, covering a lot of ground and dictating the tempo.

Expect a robust defensive performance, led by Oblak’s experience and Le Normand’s anticipation.

The presence of Álvarez and Sørloth upfront ensures an aggressive attacking approach, often capitalizing on counter-attacks and quick transitions, especially against a Las Palmas side vulnerable to conceding.

Las Palmas vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head Statistics

In their last five encounters, Atletico Madrid have dominated, winning four times, while Las Palmas secured one victory back in November 2023.

Expect Atletico to leverage their historical dominance, the team’s attacking prowess, and Las Palmas’ inconsistent form.

Odds accurate as of 17.04.2025 20:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.