Puebla vs. Atlas Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 12 July 2025

Kicking off the first round of the Liga MX 2025 season, Puebla takes on Atlas at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc on 12 July 2025. While Puebla finished last season in a disappointing 13th position, Atlas soared to the top of the league, clinching the number one spot.

Puebla comes into this match without a win in their last nine Liga MX games, and their form reflects struggles, having not scored in their last five matches. Conversely, Atlas has been solid, especially with their capability to find the net in eight consecutive games. The historical edge in head-to-head meetings goes to Atlas, having emerged victorious in three of the last five clashes.

Due to their recent performance and head-to-head history, an Atlas win or at least a draw is the recommended bet according to bookmaker odds and match tips. This match is crucial for Puebla to start their season on a positive note and break their streak of poor results.

Expect an intriguing contest as these two sides face off early Saturday morning, despite the clear favorite being the visitors, Atlas, based on the current stats and past encounters.

Puebla vs Atlas Prediction & Betting Tip

The recommended bet for this match is on Atlas with an Asian Handicap of 0.00. According to recent performances and head-to-head history, Atlas is the stronger team by a significant margin.

• Atlas has won three out of the last five head-to-head encounters with Puebla.
• Puebla has not won a match in their last nine Liga MX games, reflecting their struggling form.
• Atlas has consistently scored in their last eight matches in Liga MX, showing they have little trouble finding the back of the net.

Given Atlas’s recent form and the comparison of the two teams’ performances, an Asian Handicap on Atlas offers a balanced mix of risk and reward.

Puebla vs Atlas Odds

Both teams enter the match with close odds, reflecting a competitive edge despite Atlas’s superior ranking. Puebla is considered the bookmaker’s favourite at odds of 2.53, a nod to their home advantage at Estadio Cuauhtémoc.

However, with Atlas’s recent strong performances and their knack for scoring in consecutive matches, the odds for an Atlas win at 2.68 represent solid value. The draw, favoured at 3.18, could be worth considering given the potential for tight competition.

Ultimately, these odds suggest a finely balanced matchup where even a slight edge could tilt the scales in favour of either team.

Puebla Team Analysis

Puebla Recent Performance

Puebla haven’t had the best of times lately, struggling to find form with their last five matches reflecting a disappointing trend. Here’s a closer look:

Puebla’s recent form is a cause for concern, managing just one draw and losing four matches in their last five fixtures. They have struggled significantly in front of goal with a strikingly low average of 0.00 goals scored in these games. Defensively, they haven’t fared much better, keeping only one clean sheet during this spell. Their recent performance logs as LDLLL, which tells the tale of a team desperately in need of a win.

Puebla Key Players

With quite the turbulent recent form, Puebla will be relying heavily on a few core players to step up in this opening match of the Liga MX season.

Key Figures:

• Julio Gonzalez, the goalkeeper, will be integral in keeping Puebla’s net secured. Considering Puebla’s defensive struggles, his performance could be pivotal.
• Franco Moyano is expected to anchor the midfield. His role will be critical in both disrupting Atlas’s attacks and initiating forward plays for Puebla.
• Gustavo Ferrareis and Efrain Orona are vital in defense. Their ability to contain Atlas’s forwards could be crucial in negating the goal-scoring threat.
• Up front, Emiliano Gómez and Ricardo Marin will need to find their shooting boots to break Puebla’s goal drought.

Expected lineup for Puebla:

• Goalkeeper: Julio Gonzalez
• Defenders: Jose Pachuca, Raul Castillo, Juan Fedorco, Efrain Orona, Jorge Rodriguez
• Midfielders: Gustavo Ferrareis, Franco Moyano, Brayan Angulo
• Forwards: Emiliano Gómez, Ricardo Marin

Look out for Puebla’s strikers battling it out with Atlas’s top defenders like Matheus Dória Macedo – it should be an intense clash.

Puebla Suspensions & Injuries

Puebla heads into the match against Atlas with a significant injury concern which could impact their performance. Fernando Aristeguieta, the striker, is sidelined with a broken foot and his potential return date is still unknown. This absence could further dampen Puebla’s already struggling attack.

The absence of Aristeguieta means that Puebla will need to look for alternative attacking options. His absence removes a key attacking threat from the team, putting additional pressure on the likes of Emiliano Gómez and Ricardo Marin to step up and find the goals.

Without any suspensions, the rest of the squad is available for selection, which gives head coach Pablo Guede some flexibility in player choices and tactics. However, dealing with this significant injury to their forward line will be crucial if Puebla hopes to kick off the season positively.

Puebla Tactics and Formation

Puebla Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Ricardo Marin
• Midfield Trio: Gustavo Ferrareis, Franco Moyano, Brayan Angulo
• Defensive Setup: Five-man backline typically
• Notable Strategy: Compact defense with counter-attacking intent

Puebla’s head coach, Pablo Guede, appears to favor a defense-heavy approach, as evidenced by the numerous defensive formations deployed in their last five matches. Expect to see a well-structured backline featuring Julio Gonzalez in goal, with defenders like Jose Pachuca, Raul Castillo, Juan Fedorco, Efrain Orona, and Jorge Rodriguez holding the fort. This solidified defense will aim to limit Atlas’ scoring opportunities.

In the midfield, Gustavo Ferrareis, Franco Moyano, and Brayan Angulo are tasked with both defensive duties and playmaking. Upfront, Emiliano Gómez and Ricardo Marin will spearhead the attack, likely relying on swift counterattacks to catch Atlas off guard.

Given Puebla’s lack of goals recently, it will be crucial for the midfield to support the forwards effectively and try to exploit any defensive lapses from Atlas.

Atlas Team Analysis

Atlas Recent Performance LDLWD

Atlas has showcased a mixed bag of results in their last five matches, indicative of some inconsistencies. They’ve managed one win, two draws, and two losses in this period. In terms of goal-scoring, they have an impressive average of 1.60 goals per game, although they have struggled to keep clean sheets, not managing any in their last five outings. Here is a detailed look at their recent performance:

Atlas’s attacking prowess is significant, as reflected in their consistent goal-scoring. However, their defensive lapses have often cost them points. To compete against Puebla, they must tighten their defense while continuing to leverage their offensive strengths.

Atlas Key Players

For Atlas, their performance will hinge on several influential players who can turn the game in their favor. Camilo Vargas, the goalkeeper, will be central to Atlas’s defense, needing to improve their record of conceding goals consistently. In midfield, the influence of Aldo Rocha and Jeremy Marquez is crucial. Their ability to control the tempo of the game and create opportunities will be vital against a Puebla side looking to break their winless streak. In attack, Eduardo Aguirre and Uros Djurdjevic are expected to lead the frontline. Both forwards have shown a knack for finding the back of the net and will be essential in breaching Puebla’s defense.

Key individual battles could occur between Djurdjevic and Puebla’s central defenders like Juan Fedorco. Midfield tussles between Rocha and Puebla’s Franco Moyano will also be pivotal.

Expected lineup for Atlas:

• Goalkeeper: Camilo Vargas
• Defenders: Gaddi Aguirre, Hugo Nervo, Matheus Dória Macedo
• Midfielders: Carlos Orrantia, Aldo Rocha, Jeremy Marquez, Rivaldo Lozano, Diego González
• Forwards: Uros Djurdjevic, Eduardo Aguirre

Atlas Suspensions & Injuries

Atlas heads into this opening round of the Liga MX season with a few injury concerns that could impact their performance.

These injuries to key players might force coach Gonzalo Pineda to adapt his strategies. Mauro Manotas, a potential goal threat, will be notably missed upfront. With Zaldivar and Cruz also sidelined, the team’s midfield depth might be tested.

Their absence places more pressure on players like Aldo Rocha and Jeremy Marquez to step up and fill the void. Atlas will hope their remaining squad can rise to the challenge and start the season strongly despite these setbacks.

Atlas Tactics and Formation

Atlas’ Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-1-2
• Key Forwards: Uros Djurdjevic and Eduardo Aguirre
• Midfield Backbone: Carlos Orrantia, Aldo Rocha, Jeremy Marquez, and Rivaldo Lozano
• Defensive Line: Gaddi Aguirre, Hugo Nervo, and Matheus Doria Macedo
• Keeper: Camilo Vargas

Atlas, under coach Gonzalo Pineda, has shown a preference for a 3-4-1-2 formation, providing a balance of defensive solidity and attacking prowess. With three center-backs, the team aims to be stable at the back while using wing-backs to stretch the opposition. Against Puebla, this structure will help Atlas cover the width of the pitch effectively. Key forwards Uros Djurdjevic and Eduardo Aguirre are crucial in breaking down defenses, supported by the attacking midfielder Diego González, who exploits spaces behind the lines. The midfield quartet works industriously, with Aldo Rocha and Jeremy Marquez pivotal in transitioning play from defense to attack. Expect Atlas to press high, looking to regain possession quickly and exploit counter-attacks.

Puebla vs Atlas Head-to-Head Statistics

Puebla and Atlas have had some thrilling encounters in recent times. Here’s a look at their last five meetings:

In these matches, Atlas has shown a dominant edge, winning three of the five encounters. Puebla will be looking to break this trend and secure a victory to start their season on a high note. Meanwhile, Atlas will aim to continue their strong record against Puebla.

Odds accurate as of 10 July 2025 02:02, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.