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Cusco FC vs. Alianza Universidad Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 30 June 2025

Cusco FC-Alianza Universidad
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Cusco FC4 - 1Alianza Universidad

As we enter the 17th round of the Primera Division, an intriguing clash is set to unfold as 7th-placed Cusco FC squares off against basement dwellers Alianza Universidad. This match holds significant weight for both teams, as Cusco aims to solidify their position in the top half of the standings, while Alianza Universidad battles to escape the depths of the table.

Cusco FC, coached by Miguel Rondelli, has been in decent form recently, boasting a record of DDWDW in their last five outings. This includes an impressive 3-1 away victory against Deportivo Garcilaso, demonstrating their attacking prowess, led by top scorer Facundo Callejo with 11 goals this season.

In stark contrast, Alianza Universidad, managed by Mifflin Bermúdez, has struggled, failing to register a win in their last five games (LDDLL). They have faced defensive issues all season, conceding 1.7 goals on average, a stat that has haunted them throughout.

Given Cusco FC’s home advantage and solid form, they are the favourites with odds of 1.47 for a win. Alianza Universidad, despite their difficulties, has managed to score in recent matches, albeit ending in low-scoring affairs. This trend suggests a low-scoring encounter, making the bet on "Both teams to score: No" a strong recommendation.

With Cusco’s solid defence, evidenced by two clean sheets in their last five games, and Alianza’s poor defensive record, expect Cusco FC to dominate this encounter and secure a crucial win in their push up the league standings.

Stay tuned for what promises to be a vital match in shaping the latter stages of the Primera Division season.

Cusco FC vs Alianza Universidad Prediction & Betting Tip

For this upcoming match between Cusco FC and Alianza Universidad, the recommended betting tip is "Both teams to score: No." This prediction is based on a blend of recent performances and notable trends observed in the teams’ statistics.

Cusco FC vs Alianza Universidad Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Both teams to score: No 1.80
  • Cusco FC have managed two clean sheets in their last five matches: This suggests a solid defensive setup that may stymie an already struggling Alianza Universidad attacking side.
  • Alianza Universidad has a poor defensive record, conceding frequently: Their defence has been porous throughout the season, making it likely they will struggle to keep Cusco FC at bay.
  • Alianza Universidad has scored few goals in recent matches: Averaging only 0.60 goals in their last five games demonstrates their offensive struggles, making it less likely for them to find the net against a disciplined Cusco FC defence.

Considering the recent form and specific match facts, this tip appears well-founded and offers a sound betting opportunity for this fixture.

Cusco FC vs Alianza Universidad Odds

Cusco FC vs Alianza Universidad Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Cusco FC 1.47
Draw 4.14
Alianza Universidad 5.81

Cusco FC are considered the favourites to win this encounter, with odds of 1.47 suggesting a higher probability of securing all three points. Alianza Universidad, currently at the bottom of the standings, come in as significant underdogs with odds of 5.81 for a win.

The draw is set at 4.14, reflecting the bookmakers’ expectation that a stalemate is less likely but still a possibility given the nature of football. With Cusco FC’s recent defensive stability and Alianza Universidad’s struggles, the odds align well with the anticipated outcome.

A bet on Cusco FC seems a more secure option based on current form and statistics, but football’s unpredictable nature keeps every option on the table.

Cusco FC Team Analysis

Cusco FC Recent Performance

Home Team Away Team Date Competition Result
Atlético Grau Cusco FC 2025-06-19 Primera Division Apertura 0-0 (Draw)
Cusco FC Cienciano 2025-06-14 Primera Division Apertura 0-0 (Draw)
Comerciantes Unidos Cusco FC 2025-05-24 Primera Division Apertura 1-2 (Win)
Cusco FC Los Chankas 2025-05-17 Primera Division Apertura 3-3 (Draw)
Deportivo Garcilaso Cusco FC 2025-05-11 Primera Division Apertura 1-3 (Win)

Cusco FC has shown solid form in their recent matches, illustrated by their last five performances which include two wins and three draws. They have managed to score an average of 1.60 goals per game while keeping two clean sheets, pointing to a balanced approach between attack and defense.

Notably, their goalless draws against Atlético Grau and Cienciano highlight their defensive stability. Their attacking prowess was evident in their 3-3 draw against Los Chankas and convincing 3-1 victory over Deportivo Garcilaso.

This blend of offensive capability and defensive resilience under the guidance of coach Miguel Rondelli bodes well for their current standing in the league.

Cusco FC Key Players

Cusco FC’s squad has several standout performers who could play a crucial role in their upcoming match against Alianza Universidad. The main man up front is their top scorer, Facundo Callejo, who has already netted 11 goals this season. His clinical finishing and movement in the box make him a constant threat to any defense.

Another key player for Cusco FC is midfielder Carlos Diez, who excels in transitioning the play from defense to attack. Diez’s vision and passing accuracy help to link up play and create goal-scoring opportunities for the team.

In defense, Marco Saravia and Aldair Fuentes are central figures. They not only provide solidity at the back but are also integral to set-pieces, both defensively and offensively. The stability they offer has seen Cusco keep two clean sheets in their last five games.

Expected lineup for Cusco FC:

  • Goalkeeper: Pedro Diaz
  • Defenders: Marlon Ruidias, Marco Saravia, Aldair Fuentes, Alvaro Ampuero
  • Midfielders: Oswaldo Valenzuela, Nicolas Silva, Carlos Diez, Ivan Colman, Lucas Colitto
  • Forward: Facundo Callejo

The duel between Callejo and Alianza Universidad’s Benjamín Ampuero will be one to watch, as will the midfield battle involving Carlos Diez against Otavio Gut.

Cusco FC Suspensions & Injuries

Currently, Cusco FC does not have any suspensions or injuries to report.
This clean bill of health will undoubtedly be a massive boost for Miguel Rondelli’s side, allowing them to field their strongest XI. With all key players available, Cusco FC can fully focus on securing a crucial win. The depth in their squad means they have multiple options on the bench should situations call for tactical adjustments during the match. This flexibility, coupled with their recent form, could give them an edge against Alianza Universidad.

Cusco FC Tactics and Formation

Cusco FC Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-2-4-1
  • Key Forward: Facundo Callejo
  • Midfield Core: Marlon Ruidias, Oswaldo Valenzuela, Nicolas Silva, Carlos Diez, Ivan Colman, Lucas Colitto
  • Defensive Line: Marco Saravia, Aldair Fuentes, Alvaro Ampuero
  • Goalkeeper: Pedro Diaz
  • Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.

Miguel Rondelli has instilled a structured and balanced 3-2-4-1 formation at Cusco FC, emphasizing tactical discipline and fluidity. This formation allows for both defensive solidity and attacking versatility, with full-backs Ruidias and Valenzuela pushing forward to support the wide midfielders Silva and Colitto.

Key forward Facundo Callejo, who is the team’s top scorer with 11 goals, is pivotal in leading the attack. His positioning and sharp finishing are crucial, supported by creative midfielders Diez and Colman, who provide ample supply lines.

Cusco FC’s defensive strength is evident with two clean sheets in their last five matches, showing resilience at the back. This strategic depth could be the deciding factor against an Alianza Universidad side that struggles to find the net consistently.

Alianza Universidad Team Analysis

Alianza Universidad Recent Performance

Alianza Universidad’s recent form has been a mixed bag. Over their last five matches, they’ve only managed to scrape together two draws, which isn’t great for their position in the league. They’ve been struggling, especially on the defensive side, where they’ve conceded quite a few goals.
Here’s a quick look at their last five results:

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Alianza Universidad CD UT Cajamarca 2025-06-20 Primera Division Apertura 1-2 (Loss)
Binacional Alianza Universidad 2025-06-15 Primera Division Apertura 1-1 (Draw)
Alianza Universidad FBC Melgar 2025-05-23 Primera Division Apertura 1-1 (Draw)
Alianza Lima Alianza Universidad 2025-05-20 Primera Division Apertura 2-0 (Loss)
Alianza Universidad Sport Huancayo 2025-05-12 Primera Division Apertura 0-1 (Loss)

They’ve only scored three goals in these matches, averaging just 0.6 goals per game, and haven’t managed a single clean sheet.
This poor run of form shows why they’re currently sitting at the bottom of the table in 19th place. However, with players like Joffré Escobar and Yorleys Mena Palacios leading the attack, they might be hoping for a change in their fortunes soon.

Alianza Universidad Key Players

Alianza Universidad may be struggling in the league, but they have a few standout players who could make a difference. Yorleys Mena Palacios, their top scorer with 3 goals, will be vital in their attempt to upset Cusco FC. His partnership with Joffré Escobar in the forward line will be one to watch.

In midfield, Marcos Lliuya has shown flashes of creativity and will be crucial in linking up play from defense to attack. On the defensive end, Benjamin Ampuero will need to marshal the backline effectively to keep out Cusco’s top scorer, Facundo Callejo.

Key individual battles to look out for include Yorleys Mena Palacios against Cusco’s solid defender Aldair Fuentes. This duel could very well set the tone for the match.

Expected lineup for Alianza Universidad:

  • Goalkeeper: Pedro Ynamine
  • Defenders: Aldair Perleche, Jhon Ibargüen, Benjamín Ampuero, Jesus Mendieta
  • Midfielders: Otavio Gut, Rick Campodónico, Marcos Lliuya, Omar Vásquez
  • Attackers: Yorleys Mena Palacios, Joffré Escobar

Alianza Universidad Suspensions & Injuries

Alianza Universidad arrive at this crucial match without any major suspensions or injuries impacting their squad. This clean bill of health might be one of the few positives for Mifflin Bermúdez’s side as they look to salvage their season in these closing rounds. Having their entire roster available could be critical, as they require all hands on deck to secure any points against a Cusco FC side that notably sits much higher in the league standings. The absence of injuries means Bermúdez can deploy his optimal formation and strongest lineup, hoping that a rare victory can lift their spirits and provide a much-needed morale boost.

Alianza Universidad Tactics and Formation

Alianza Universidad’s Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: Predominantly using a 4-1-3-2 setup
  • Key Forwards: Yorleys Mena Palacios and Joffré Escobar
  • Defensive Configuration: The inclusion of Aldair Perleche, Jhon Ibargüen, Benjamín Ampuero, and Jesus Mendieta forming the backline.
  • Midfield Dynamo: Otavio Gut as the defensive midfielder with Rick Campodónico, Marcos Lliuya, and Omar Vásquez providing support.
  • Defensive Issues: With no clean sheets in their last five games, the defence will need shoring up.

Tactical Considerations:

  • Expected Line-up:
  • Goalkeeper: Pedro Ynamine
  • Defenders:
    • Right back: Aldair Perleche
    • Right center back: Jhon Ibargüen
    • Left center back: Benjamín Ampuero
    • Left back: Jesus Mendieta
  • Midfield:
    • Defensive midfielder: Otavio Gut
    • Right central midfielder: Rick Campodónico
    • Central midfielder: Marcos Lliuya
    • Left central midfielder: Omar Vásquez
  • Forwards:
    • Right forward: Yorleys Mena Palacios
    • Left forward: Joffré Escobar
  • Notable Strategy: Alianza Universidad will likely aim to exploit quick transitions and counter-attacks, leveraging the speed of their forwards.
  • Key Weakness: Alianza Universidad concedes 1.7 goals on average per game, highlighting a need for improved defensive cohesion.

Given their current standings and recent form, it’s clear Alianza Universidad needs to tighten up at the back while hoping their midfield can supply enough support to their attack to break through Cusco FC’s defence.

Cusco FC vs Alianza Universidad Head-to-Head Statistics

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Cusco FC Alianza Universidad 2022-09-18 Liga 2 Clausura 2-1 (Win)
Alianza Universidad Cusco FC 2022-06-19 Liga 2 Apertura 0-2 (Loss)
Cusco FC Alianza Universidad 2021-08-01 Liga 1 – Fase 2 2-3 (Loss)
Alianza Universidad Cusco FC 2021-03-15 Liga 1 – Fase 1 1-0 (Win)
Alianza Universidad Cusco FC 2020-09-23 Liga 1 – Apertura 1-0 (Win)

Looking at the past five meetings between these two teams, Cusco FC has won twice while Alianza Universidad has secured three victories. Interestingly, Alianza Universidad has managed to score first in all recent encounters, a trend they will hope to continue. With both teams competing strongly, their head-to-head history indicates a closely fought contest every time they meet.

Odds accurate as of 28 June 2025, 12:01 AM, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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