Alianza Lima vs. Binacional Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 6 July 2025

This Sunday, Alianza Lima hosts Binacional in what promises to be an intriguing clash in the Primera Division. With Alianza Lima sitting comfortably in 2nd place with 33 points and Binacional struggling in 15th place with just 17 points, the home side will be eager to secure another victory to keep their title hopes alive.

Alianza Lima, under the guidance of Néstor Gorosito, have showcased strong form, evidenced by their WWDDW record in the last five games. They boast a formidable defense, having kept four clean sheets in their past five encounters and will look to maintain this stability.

Binacional, on the other hand, have had a more turbulent season with their last five results showing a mix of WLDLD. Despite their lower league standing, Binacional have managed to score in 88% of their matches this season, indicating they should not be underestimated.

The head-to-head stats lean heavily in favor of Alianza Lima. Past encounters reveal a series of dominant performances by Alianza, including a 6-1 triumph the last time Binacional visited.

For betting enthusiasts, it’s worth considering taking the Binacional +2.50 (AH) handicap. Given Binacional’s fighting spirit, they could keep the loss under three goals which provides a safety buffer.

In terms of weather and venue, specific details were not provided, but fans will undoubtedly create an electric atmosphere to spur their teams on.

With key players like Jose Paolo Guerrero for Alianza and Roger Torres for Binacional ready to make their mark, this fixture encapsulates the dynamic and unpredictable nature of football.

Expect a hard-fought game with Alianza Lima as clear favorites to edge out Binacional.

Alianza Lima vs Binacional Prediction & Betting Tip

Recommending our betting tip for this match between Alianza Lima and Binacional. Based on the current form, statistics, and odds, here’s our advised bet:

Alianza Lima vs Binacional Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Binacional +2.50 (AH)	1.75

• Current Form: Alianza Lima may be strong at home, but Binacional has consistently fought hard, often keeping scorelines close, even in losses.
• Match Facts: Binacional has scored in 88% of their matches this season, showing they can get on the scoreboard and limit large defeats.
• Head-to-Head Record: While Alianza Lima has had dominant results, Binacional typically manages to avoid heavy losses, making the +2.50 handicap a safe buffer.

Breaking down the betting tip, taking the +2.5 handicap on Binacional provides a safety net. Should Binacional lose, as long as the margin is under three goals, the bet stays successful. This makes it a more conservative but solid choice given the data.

Alianza Lima vs Binacional Odds

Alianza Lima vs Binacional Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Alianza Lima	1.10
Draw	8.21
Binacional	18.60

<br><br>

• Alianza Lima as Heavy Favourites: The odds clearly favour Alianza Lima, reflecting their superior form and higher league standing. At 1.10, bookmakers see this as a near-certain win for the home team.
• High Odds for Draw and Binacional Win: The long odds for a draw (8.21) and a Binacional victory (18.60) highlight the perceived gap in quality between the sides. While Alianza Lima are expected to dominate, Binacional’s resilience could still pose a challenge.
• Strategic Betting: Given the odds, a wager on Binacional with a +2.50 handicap seems prudent. It allows for a buffer against heavy losses and aligns with their tendency to limit the margin of defeats.

In summary, while Alianza Lima are the favourites, strategic bets on Binacional’s resilience can offer value.

Alianza Lima Team Analysis

Alianza Lima Recent Performance

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
FBC Melgar	Alianza Lima	2025-06-28	Primera Division	0-1 (Win)
Comerciantes Unidos	Alianza Lima	2025-06-19	Primera Division	0-1 (Win)
Alianza Lima	Sport Huancayo	2025-06-15	Primera Division	0-0 (Draw)
Libertad	Alianza Lima	2025-05-27	Copa Libertadores	2-2 (Draw)
Sport Boys	Alianza Lima	2025-05-24	Primera Division	0-1 (Win)

Alianza Lima have shown impressive form in their recent matches, securing 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games. Their performance in the latest match against FBC Melgar reinforces their position as strong contenders, especially with their strong defensive record, having kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games.

Their average goals scored of 1.00 per game might seem modest, but their solid defense has made up for it. Coach Néstor Gorosito’s side consistently manages to secure points, whether by narrow wins or stalemates, demonstrating their endurance and tactical discipline.

Combined, these results highlight Alianza Lima’s resilience and capacity to execute their game plan effectively under Gorosito’s leadership.

Alianza Lima Key Players

Alianza Lima’s recent performances have demonstrated the crucial roles played by their top scorer José Paolo Guerrero and the solid defensive line led by Carlos Zambrano. Guerrero, with 5 goals to his name this season, stands out as a potent threat to opposition defenses. His ability to capitalize on chances and unlock defenses is essential for Alianza Lima’s attacking prowess.

At the back, Carlos Zambrano’s leadership and experience provide stability. Alongside him, Renzo Garcés and Erick Noriega have also been instrumental in maintaining clean sheets. This defensive trio will be vital in neutralizing Binacional’s attacking threats.

In midfield, Fernando Gaibor’s creativity and Alan Cantero’s box-to-box abilities ensure that the team transitions smoothly between defense and attack.

Expected lineup for Alianza Lima:

• Goalkeeper: Guillermo Viscarra
• Defenders: Miguel Trauco, Erick Noriega, Carlos Zambrano, Renzo Garcés, Marco Huamán
• Midfielders: Fernando Gaibor, Alan Cantero, Kevin Quevedo
• Forwards: Eryc Castillo, Hernán Barcos

Watch out for the potential key individual battles, particularly Guerrero against Binacional’s Nicolás Rodríguez, which could be decisive in this matchup.

Alianza Lima Suspensions & Injuries

Alianza Lima heads into this crucial match with a couple of notable absentees due to injuries, which can impact their squad depth and flexibility. Here’s the current injury list:

Player	Injury	Expected return
Jean Pierre Archimbaud	Arm injury	Mid July 2025
Pablo Lavandeira	Muscle injury	Mid July 2025

The absence of Jean Pierre Archimbaud and Pablo Lavandeira could affect Alianza Lima’s midfield dynamics. Archimbaud’s defensive robustness and Lavandeira’s creative flair in the middle of the park will be missed. Coach Néstor Gorosito will need to rely on the rest of the squad to cover these gaps effectively.

No players are currently suspended for Alianza Lima, which means Gorosito has a full defensive line to choose from, maintaining stability in that department.

The team will need to focus on leveraging their depth and ensuring these injuries do not disrupt their tactical plans too much.

Alianza Lima Tactics and Formation

Alianza Lima Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 5-3-2
• Key Forwards: Eryc Castillo and Hernan Barcos
• Midfield Trio: Fernando Gaibor, Alan Cantero, and Kevin Quevedo
• Defensive Strength: Four clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Strong defensive line featuring five defenders, aiming to control the game’s rhythm and limit opponent scoring opportunities.

Alianza Lima, under the guidance of Néstor Gorosito, has relied on a solid defensive foundation, often deploying a 5-3-2 formation. This setup ensures a robust backline, minimizing defensive gaps and facilitating clean sheets—highlighted by their recent defensive success.

The attacking responsibilities primarily rest on the shoulders of Eryc Castillo and Hernan Barcos, with the midfield supporting both creatively and defensively. Kevin Quevedo adds dynamism, Alan Cantero provides balance, and Fernando Gaibor anchors the midfield with his tactical awareness. This formation aims to maintain squad depth and control, ensuring Alianza Lima can adequately cover for injured players and remain competitive in crucial fixtures.

Binacional Team Analysis

Binacional’s Recent Performance:

Binacional’s recent performances have been mixed, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. Let’s break it down:

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Binacional	Sport Huancayo	27-06-2025	Primera Division	1-0 (Win)
Sport Boys	Binacional	22-06-2025	Primera Division	3-1 (Loss)
Binacional	Alianza Universidad	15-06-2025	Primera Division	1-1 (Draw)
Atletico Grau	Binacional	24-05-2025	Primera Division	3-0 (Loss)
Binacional	Cienciano	19-05-2025	Primera Division	1-1 (Draw)

Recent Form: WLDLD

In these games, Binacional managed to secure a win against Sport Huancayo, showcasing their potential. However, their away form has been concerning, illustrated by losses to Sport Boys and Atletico Grau, where they conceded three goals each.

On the scoring front, Binacional has averaged 0.80 goals per game in their last five matches, while managing just one clean sheet. This defensive vulnerability is something Coach Claudio Bustamante will look to address as they prepare to face Alianza Lima.

Binacional Key Players

Breaking down Binacional’s lineup, their key players need to step up to create some spark against a formidable Alianza Lima side.

Attackers

• Roger Torres: The top scorer with 3 goals this season. He’ll be looked upon to penetrate Alianza Lima’s strong defense.
• Nicolas Figueroa: Positioned as a left forward, Figueroa will likely play a crucial role in linking up plays and creating chances.
• Marlon Torres: Leading the frontline as the center forward. His battle against Alianza’s central defenders Carlos Zambrano and Renzo Garcés could be decisive.

Midfielders

• Juan Pablo Carranza: A central figure in midfield, Carranza’s distribution and vision will be essential in dictating the play.
• Edson Aubert: Known for his ability to break up opposition plays, Aubert will pair up with Carranza to control Binacional’s midfield.

Defense

• Nicolas Rodriguez: As a right center-back, he will be crucial in organizing the defense against the attacking threats from Alianza’s Éryc Castillo and Hernán Barcos.
• Michel Rasmussen: Playing as a right back, he will need to support the attack while being cautious of Alianza’s counter-attacks.

Expected lineup for Binacional:

• Goalkeeper: Ángel Azurín
• Defenders: Michel Rasmussen, Nicolás Rodríguez, Brackson León, Denylson Chávez
• Midfielders: Juan Pablo Carranza, Edson Aubert, Arthur Gutiérrez
• Attackers: Franchesco Flores, Marlon Torres, Nicolás Figueroa

Key individual battles will focus on how effectively Binacional’s attackers can breach Alianza Lima’s robust defense and whether their midfield can outmaneuver the experienced trio of Gaibor, Cantero, and Quevedo.

Binacional Suspensions & Injuries

Currently, Binacional have no reported injuries or suspensions, which gives them a clean bill of health heading into their match against Alianza Lima. This lack of injuries and suspensions will be crucial for Claudio Bustamante’s side as they face a difficult challenge. With all key players available, Binacional will have the opportunity to field their strongest lineup and execute their game plan effectively.

• Keeping a full-strength squad will be pivotal for Binacional as they aim to neutralise Alianza Lima’s attacking threats.
• Given that Alianza Lima have been solid defensively, Binacional will need all their offensive options to break down their opponent’s backline.

Binacional Tactics and Formation

Binacional’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Marlon Torres
• Midfield Trio: Juan Pablo Carranza, Edson Aubert, Arthur Gutiérrez
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games.

Given their recent shift to a 4-3-3 formation, Binacional under Claudio Bustamante looks to bolster stability both defensively and offensively.

• Defence: The back four, led by Nicolas Rodriguez and Brackson León, aim to stay compact and organized. Against a strong Alianza Lima attack, their primary goal will be to limit space and intercept plays.
• Midfield Control: With Carranza, Aubert, and Gutiérrez in the middle, Binacional will look to disrupt Alianza’s rhythm and control the tempo. These players are crucial for transitioning from defence to attack and maintaining possession.
• Attacking Strategy: Up front, Marlon Torres will be the key figure in leading the attack. Accompanied by Franchesco Flores and Nicolas Figueroa, the forward line will focus on counter-attacks to exploit any gaps left by Alianza Lima’s defence, especially in the 61-75 minute interval where their opponents have been susceptible.

Binacional’s defensive solidity and counter-attacking prowess will be vital in their bid to pull off a result against the high-flying Alianza Lima.

Alianza Lima vs Binacional Head-to-Head Statistics

Home	Away	Date	Competition	Result
Binacional	Alianza Lima	2023-10-04	Liga 1 Clausura	1-2
Alianza Lima	Binacional	2023-05-29	Liga 1 Apertura	6-1
Alianza Lima	Binacional	2022-10-21	Liga 1 Clausura	2-0
Binacional	Alianza Lima	2022-06-19	Liga 1 Apertura	1-0
Alianza Lima	Binacional	2021-09-12	Liga 1 – Fase 2	3-2

In their last five meetings, Alianza Lima has won four times, whereas Binacional secured just one victory.
These recurring encounters underscore Alianza Lima’s dominance over Binacional, with scorelines such as the 6-1 thrashing in May 2023 standing out. This trend of results indicates a clear upper hand for Alianza Lima in this matchup.

Odds accurate as of 07.04.2025 02:02, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.