New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors Prediction - NBA Picks

The New York Knicks and Toronto Raptors are set to face off in an Eastern Conference matchup on 5th February 2025 at 7:30 PM EST, broadcast on TSN. The Knicks, riding high on a streak of great performances, are the favourites with a spread of -5.5 (-108) and moneyline odds of -201. The Raptors, struggling to find consistency this season, are the underdogs at +5.5 (-108) with a moneyline of +201. The total points line stands at 231.5 (-108 for both over and under).

New York Knicks Analysis

The New York Knicks enter this game with a solid 33-17 record, placing them third in the Eastern Conference. They are currently on a five-game winning streak, showcasing their ability to dominate both offensively and defensively. The Knicks have performed admirably against their opponents, including a recent victory over the Denver Nuggets.

Recent Performances

The Knicks have been efficient on both ends of the court, with an Offensive Rating of 121.87 and a Defensive Rating of 115.09. They average 117.86 points per game, highlighting their offensive prowess. Key players such as Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns, and Mikal Bridges have been instrumental in their success. Brunson leads the team with 26.04 PPG and 7.57 APG, while Towns adds 24.27 PPG and 13.47 RPG, making them a formidable duo.

Key Metrics

• Offensive Efficiency: The Knicks boast an impressive 1.22 points per possession.
• Defensive Metrics: Allowing 1.15 opponent points per possession, they maintain a slight edge defensively.
• Rebounding: The Knicks hold a Defensive Rebound Percentage of 0.75, ensuring they limit second-chance opportunities for their opponents.
• Shooting: With a Field Goal Percentage of 49% and a True Shooting Percentage of 60%, the Knicks are efficient scorers.

Strategic Considerations

The Knicks’ ability to control the pace and maintain possession will be crucial. Their lower Turnover Percentage (12.43%) and high Assist to Turnover Ratio (2.30) indicate disciplined play. The Knicks’ bench, though not as productive as the Raptors’, provides essential contributions, particularly from Cameron Payne and Precious Achiuwa.

Toronto Raptors Analysis

The Toronto Raptors are currently 12th in the Eastern Conference with a 16-33 record. Despite their struggles, they recently secured a win against the Los Angeles Clippers and are looking to capitalise on any potential fatigue the Knicks may have from their back-to-back games.

Recent Performances

The Raptors’ Offensive Rating stands at 111.84, with an average of 111.20 points per game. Defensively, they have a rating of 116.99, which is an area of concern. Key players like RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes, and Gradey Dick are vital to their performance. Barrett leads the team with 21.59 PPG and 5.68 APG, while Barnes adds versatility with 20.11 PPG, 8.11 RPG, and 6.42 APG.

Key Metrics

• Offensive Efficiency: The Raptors score 1.12 points per possession.
• Defensive Metrics: They allow 1.17 opponent points per possession.
• Rebounding: The Raptors have a slight edge in Offensive Rebound Percentage at 0.26 but trail in Defensive Rebound Percentage at 0.73.
• Shooting: With a Field Goal Percentage of 47% and a True Shooting Percentage of 56%, their shooting efficiency is decent but not exceptional.

Strategic Considerations

The Raptors’ faster pace (98.80) and higher fast break points (17.71) could be advantageous if they can disrupt the Knicks’ rhythm. Their bench, contributing 34.92 points per game, will need to step up to offset the Knicks’ efficiency. Defensive improvements are necessary to contain the Knicks’ potent offence.

Historical Matchup Insights

The Knicks have dominated the Raptors in recent encounters, winning three matchups this season. The most recent game on 9th January 2025 saw the Knicks secure a 112-98 victory. Historically, the Knicks have shown superior offensive and defensive metrics in these matchups, consistently outscoring the Raptors.

Previous Encounters

• 9/1/2025: Knicks 112, Raptors 98
• 24/12/2024: Knicks 139, Raptors 125
• 10/12/2024: Knicks 113, Raptors 108

In these games, the Knicks’ offensive efficiency and defensive solidity were evident, with standout performances from key players like Karl-Anthony Towns and Jalen Brunson. The Raptors struggled to keep pace, highlighting the gap between the two teams.

Betting Pick & Prediction

Given the Knicks’ current form, superior offensive and defensive metrics, and historical dominance over the Raptors, they are well-positioned to secure another victory. The spread of -5.5 in favour of the Knicks seems justified.

Key Stats Supporting the Pick

• Offensive Efficiency: Knicks’ 1.22 points per possession vs. Raptors’ 1.12.
• Turnover Control: Knicks’ Turnover Percentage of 12.43% vs. Raptors’ 15.33%.
• Shooting Efficiency: Knicks’ True Shooting Percentage of 60% vs. Raptors’ 56%.

Motivational Factors

The Knicks are motivated to continue their winning streak and solidify their position in the top three of the Eastern Conference. The potential fatigue from back-to-back games could be a factor, but their depth and efficiency should mitigate this risk. The Raptors, though determined to break their losing streak against the Knicks, face an uphill battle given their current form and defensive vulnerabilities.

Betting Recommendation

Pick: New York Knicks -5.5 (-108)

The Knicks’ offensive firepower, disciplined play, and historical success against the Raptors position them as the clear favourites. Betting on the Knicks to cover the spread is a solid choice, supported by their superior metrics and recent performances. The total points line at 231.5 also suggests a high-scoring game, but the Knicks’ ability to control the tempo might keep the scoring in check.

In conclusion, the New York Knicks are expected to leverage their strengths and secure another victory, making them the recommended bet for this matchup.